- Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets
- Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Los Angeles (-130) New York (+110)
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The Los Angeles Dodgers (65-38) are heading to Citi Field on Saturday to face off against the New York Mets (43-60). The current moneyline features Los Angeles at -130, while New York is positioned at +110. The total runs set for this matchup is 8, with Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Nolan McLean slated as the starting pitchers.
The Dodgers have an impressive slugging percentage of .432, having recorded 816 strikeouts and 408 walks this season. They have contributed to 504 RBIs and accumulated 901 hits, resulting in a batting average of .260. The team has achieved 172 doubles and belted 134 homers. Averaging 5.2 runs per game places the Dodgers 3rd in the league.
Los Angeles boasts a team ERA of 3.55, ranking 3rd in the league, and their pitchers have fanned 919 batters. The staff has allowed 114 home runs and 378 runs, leading MLB in that statistic. With 307 walks issued, their FIP stands at 3.85 for the season. The Dodgers have given up 728 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and have a K/BB ratio of 2.99, complemented by a WHIP of 1.14.
The Dodgers’ bullpen has a save percentage of 71.1%, having faced 103 save situations. With 27 saves against 11 blown opportunities, there have been 106 inherited runners, with about 34.0% scoring. This season, relief pitchers have appeared in 66 high-leverage situations and sent 326 relievers to the mound, totaling 64 holds (6th in MLB).
The Dodgers maintain a 72.9% conversion rate of balls in play into outs, leading the league. They have made 2,731 putouts, recorded 858 assists, and committed 37 errors, resulting in a .990 fielding percentage, which ranks 2nd in baseball. They have executed 60 double plays this season.
Yamamoto has pitched 382 innings, accumulating 419 strikeouts with a career ERA of 2.71 (115 earned runs). His WHIP is 0.986, having surrendered 271 hits (6.4 hits per nine innings) and 106 walks. With a career record of 29-16, Yamamoto has faced 1,507 batters with a FIP of 2.67.
Meanwhile, the New York Mets hold a team OBP of .304 and a batting average of .234. They have struck out 861 times (14th in MLB) and recorded 812 hits. The Mets have hit 121 home runs and driven in 399 runs this season, sporting a team slugging percentage of .383 and scoring 4.07 runs per game (27th in the league). They’ve also achieved 128 doubles, walked 324 times, and totaled 419 runs.
With a WHIP of 1.306 and a FIP of 4.04, the Mets rank 13th in total hits allowed (828). They’ve given up 483 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.23 (431 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is notable at 2.54, with 938 strikeouts versus 369 walks, while they have yielded 114 home runs, allowing 4.74 runs per nine innings (19th in MLB).
The Mets’ bullpen has recorded 39 holds in 69 save opportunities, with 13 blown saves. They’ve had their relievers step in for 30 save chances, securing 17 saves. Facing 142 inherited runners, their inherited scoring rate is 28.9%. The relief pitchers have made 108 high-leverage appearances, and they rank 25th in save percentage at 56.7%, using a total of 318 bullpen pitchers this season.
On defense, the Mets have a 69.4% efficiency rating (21st in MLB) with 57 double plays and a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball). They’ve made 837 assists, committed 69 errors, and recorded 2,750 putouts this season.
In his career, McLean has allowed 117 hits and has 192 strikeouts over 161 innings pitched. With a career record of 12-7, he has a 2.96 ERA and surrenders 6.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 53 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.080 and a FIP of 2.9, alongside a K/BB ratio of 3.37 after facing 657 batters thus far.
Who will dominate the MLB game tonight—against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Los Angeles (-130)
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