- Game: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
- Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA
- TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh
- Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-122) Pittsburgh (+102)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (53-50) will be looking to overcome the Chicago Cubs (57-45) at PNC Park this Saturday. The betting line places the Cubs at -122 and the Pirates at +102, with the over/under set at 9 runs. Shota Imanaga and Paul Skenes are anticipated to take the mound for their respective teams.
The Chicago Cubs are averaging 5.1 runs per game this season, which ranks them 4th in the league. They have notched 520 total runs and possess an on-base percentage (OBP) of .338. The team has 163 doubles and has hit 128 home runs. Additionally, the Cubs have recorded 486 RBIs along with 853 hits, boasting a batting average of .245. Their slugging percentage stands at .413, while they have recorded 868 strikeouts and drawn 448 walks this year.
This season, the Cubs have a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.27, placing them 19th in MLB. The pitching staff has struck out 798 batters while allowing 157 home runs and 455 runs total (12th in the league). The pitchers have issued 311 walks, with a collective FIP of 4.76 throughout the season. Chicago’s pitchers have given up 845 hits (averaging 8.4 hits per 9 innings) and 431 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.57 with a team WHIP of 1.27.
The Cubs have utilized 336 relief pitchers this year. Out of 152 inherited runners, 31.6% have scored. The relief corps has accumulated 36 holds (29th in MLB) and has faced base runners in 104 instances. They have had 99 high-pressure situations and have recorded 20 saves, with 17 blown opportunities out of 37 attempts. The save conversion rate for Cubs relievers is 54.1%, who have entered 79 save situations this season.
Defensively, the Cubs have accumulated 2,725 putouts along with 944 assists and 40 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .989, which ranks third in the league. They have executed 77 double plays and converted 71.7% of balls in play into outs over 8,175 innings, also rating third in MLB.
Shota Imanaga, holding a career win-loss record of 30-19, possesses a FIP of 3.40, having faced 1,725 batters during his major league tenure. He has given up 366 hits (allowing 7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 82 walks. His ERA is 3.45, with 166 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.035 across 433 innings, notching 400 strikeouts in his career.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit 132 home runs this season and recorded 519 RBIs, alongside 164 doubles, while walking 382 times and scoring 543 runs. They boast a .339 OBP and a .261 batting average, with a slugging percentage of .424 while averaging 5.27 runs per game (2nd in MLB). The Pirates have struck out 985 times (leading MLB) and have amassed 933 hits.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.309, with a FIP of 3.96. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.20, generating 943 strikeouts against 370 walks. They sit 15th in total hits allowed with 833 and have surrendered 107 home runs, allowing 4.82 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The pitching staff has given up 492 runs this season, maintaining an overall ERA of 4.26.
In relief, Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have a 31.0% inherited runner scoring rate from 129 opportunities. The relief corps has taken the mound in high-leverage situations 93 times and faced base runners on 91 occasions. With 87 save attempts, they have tallied 47 holds and suffered 19 blown saves, resulting in a 51.3% save rate, ranking 28th in the league. This year, 327 bullpen pitchers have taken the mound.
In 8,271 innings played, the Pirates boast a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (24th in professional baseball). They have turned 81 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in MLB), with 811 assists, 60 errors, and 2,757 putouts so far this season.
Throughout his MLB career, Paul Skenes has allowed 324 hits and has achieved 524 strikeouts over 435 innings. Skenes, with a 30-21 record, has registered a 2.36 ERA, permitting 6.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 114 earned runs and records a WHIP of 0.974, along with a FIP of 2.3. His K/BB ratio stands at 5.24, having faced 1,712 batters throughout his career.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+102)
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