- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Cleveland (+132) Tampa Bay (-160)
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The Cleveland Guardians (54-50) are heading to Tropicana Field this Saturday to face the Tampa Bay Rays (59-43). The moneyline sees the Guardians at +132 while the Rays sit at -160. The total runs for this match are pegged at 8.5, with Tanner Bibee and Nick Martinez as the starting pitchers for each team.
This season, the Guardians hold a slugging percentage of .375, having recorded 869 strikeouts and 376 walks. They have scored 399 RBIs and compiled 800 hits, achieving a team batting average of .233. In total, the Guardians have earned 159 doubles and hit 103 home runs, totaling 417 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .312. Currently, they average 4.0 runs per game, placing them 29th in major league baseball.
Cleveland’s pitching staff boasts a team ERA of 3.71 this season, ranking them 8th in the MLB. Their pitchers have tallied 950 strikeouts while allowing 117 home runs and conceding 423 runs (8th in MLB). They have walked 343 batters, resulting in a collective FIP of 3.91. Overall, the Guardians have permitted 823 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and given up 381 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.26.
The Guardians’ bullpen has a save rate of 76.7%, having faced 130 save situations this season. They have successfully saved 33 games and failed in 10 out of 43 save opportunities. With 155 inherited runners, 24.5% have scored. This season, the bullpen has made 130 high leverage appearances, utilizing 352 relievers, and achieving a league-leading 86 holds.
Defensively, the Guardians have converted 69.8% of batted balls into outs, ranking 18th in the MLB. With 2,774 putouts, 823 assists, and 55 errors, their fielding percentage stands at .985, putting them 19th overall, alongside 71 double plays.
Tanner Bibee has pitched 617 innings, securing 582 strikeouts throughout his professional career. Bibee (38-32 overall record) has a FIP of 3.61 and has faced 2,539 batters in the MLB. He carries an ERA of 3.66 (251 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.170, allowing 544 hits (7.9 per nine innings) and issuing 178 walks.
The Tampa Bay Rays have managed an OBP of .333 with a team batting average of .259 this season. They rank 30th in MLB with 730 strikeouts and have tallied 884 hits. The Rays have hit 103 home runs, driving in 435 runs. Their slugging percentage is .402, averaging 4.50 runs per game (14th in the league). They have also acquired 147 doubles, drawn 349 walks, and scored a total of 459 runs.
The Rays present a team WHIP of 1.174 and a FIP of 4.16 for the season. It reflects their K/BB ratio of 8.10 (814 strikeouts to 271 walks) placing them 6th overall in giving up hits, allowing 793 total. They’ve yielded 128 homers and allow 4.26 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). Their pitching staff has conceded 429 runs, holding a team ERA of 3.83 (386 earned runs).
Ranking 6th in save rate at 73.1%, the Rays have fielded 321 bullpen pitchers this season. Their relief staff has participated in 96 high leverage situations and 82 appearances with runners on base. Out of 129 save opportunities, they’ve achieved 38 saves but experienced 14 blown saves. Rays relievers have inherited 119 base runners, with a 29.4% scoring rate.
Defensively, the Rays have recorded 69 double plays and a fielding percentage of .983, which is 23rd in the league. They have a total of 2,718 putouts, 819 assists, and 62 errors this year. Their defensive efficiency is currently 71.8% (2nd in MLB) across 8,154 innings played.
Throughout his career, Nick Martinez has allowed 1,040 hits with 732 strikeouts over 1,051 innings. He has surrendered 466 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.283 and a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.37 after facing 4,439 batters. With a career win-loss record of 57-61, Martinez has an ERA of 3.99, permitting 8.9 hits per nine innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Opt for Cleveland (+132)
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