Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Analysis, 7/26/2026 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Analysis, 7/26/2026 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

  • Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets
  • Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
  • Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
  • Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
  • Betting Odds: Los Angeles (-150) New York (+125)

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This Sunday, the New York Mets (43-61) will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (66-38) at Citi Field. The betting line for this matchup features Los Angeles favored at -150, while New York is listed at +125. The total runs are projected at 8.5, with Emmet Sheehan and Freddy Peralta set to start on the mound.

mlb betting insights Kyle Tucker Los Angeles Dodgers predictions best odds

The Dodgers have achieved a total of 175 doubles this season and blasted 135 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .433, Los Angeles has recorded 821 strikeouts while drawing 411 walks. Averaging 5.2 runs per game, they stand 3rd in the league. The Dodgers currently have 507 RBIs and 911 hits, boasting a team batting average of .260 and scoring 539 runs with an on-base percentage of .341.

Los Angeles has maintained a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.01, with its pitchers recording a WHIP of 1.13. The pitching staff has allowed 116 home runs and given up 380 runs, ranking 1st in the league. The Dodgers have conceded 732 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and 361 earned runs this season, posting a team ERA of 3.53 (3rd in baseball) while striking out 930 batters. Their pitchers have issued 309 walks with a FIP of 3.85.

The Dodgers’ bullpen boasts a save rate of 71.8%, having participated in 105 save situations. They have successfully converted 28 of 39 save opportunities while allowing just 34% of inherited runners to score. Dodgers relievers have faced opponents in 96 crucial situations throughout the season and the team has used a total of 328 relief pitchers, achieving 65 holds (5th in MLB).

The team’s defensive efficiency is impressive, converting 73.0% of balls in play into outs across 8,274 innings, ranking 1st in Major League Baseball. The Dodgers have also tallied 2,758 putouts, 864 assists, and made 37 errors this season, holding a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB) and executing 61 double plays.

Sheehan has pitched for 220 innings, accumulating 252 strikeouts with a career ERA of 4.33 (106 earned runs). His WHIP stands at 1.152, surrendering 179 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 75 walks. With a career record of 14-11, he has faced 914 batters with a FIP of 4.26.

This season, the New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .303 and a batting average of .233. They rank 14th in strikeouts with 872 while accumulating 816 hits. The Mets have hit 123 home runs and have 401 RBIs, posting a team slugging percentage of .383 and averaging 4.05 runs per game (27th in MLB). They have also recorded 129 doubles, registered 326 walks, and scored 421 runs.

The Mets’ pitching staff has allowed 487 runs with a team ERA of 4.23 (435 earned runs). They’ve given up 115 home runs and average 4.74 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). New York has a WHIP of 1.309, with a FIP of 4.04, securing a 9.20 strikeout-to-walk ratio (943 strikeouts against 372 walks). They currently rank 14th in MLB for total hits allowed at 839.

Ranked 24th in save percentage (56.7%), the Mets have used 321 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has entered 109 high-leverage situations and faced runners on base 103 times. In 69 save opportunities, New York has recorded 39 holds and experienced 13 blown saves. With 30 total save opportunities, the Mets have achieved 17 saves and have allowed 28.9% of inherited runners to score out of 142 total.

Defensively, the Mets have recorded a efficiency of 69.4% (21st in MLB) across 8,331 innings. They have executed 58 double plays, achieved a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in MLB), with 845 assists, 69 errors, and a total of 2,777 putouts for the season.

Peralta, with a career record of 75-51, holds a 3.74 ERA and allows 7.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.11 as he has faced 4,345 opposing batters. With a WHIP of 1.167 and a FIP of 3.7, Peralta has given up 432 earned runs and 808 hits, along with 1,263 strikeouts over 1,040 innings pitched.

Who will come out on top in this MLB showdown, either against the spread or on the moneyline?

Expert’s Pick: Choose Los Angeles (-150)

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Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (-150)
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