- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Monday, July 27, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-160) Miami (+132)
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On Monday, the Miami Marlins (52-52) will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (56-48) at LoanDepot Park. Philadelphia is favored at -160, while Miami stands at +132. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8 runs. Zack Wheeler will pitch for the Phillies, and Tyler Phillips will take the mound for the Marlins.
The Philadelphia Phillies are showcasing a slugging percentage of .400 with 926 strikeouts and 302 walks so far this season. They have amassed 433 RBIs off 821 hits, maintaining a team batting average of .235. Collectively, the squad has recorded 141 doubles and has knocked out 135 home runs. They are averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them 19th in the league.
With a K/BB ratio of 3.36, the Phillies’ pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31. The team has given up 126 home runs and 464 runs, ranking 16th in the league. In total, the Phillies have allowed 904 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 433 earned runs, culminating in a team ERA of 4.23 (18th place in MLB) with 1,016 strikeouts. They have issued 302 walks and their FIP stands at 3.81 for the season.
Philadelphia’s bullpen has achieved a save percentage of 74.4%, having entered 82 save opportunities. They have successfully recorded 29 saves but have also missed 10 out of 39 attempts. The bullpen has encountered 110 inherited base runners with a 35.5% scoring rate. Relievers have entered games with runners on base 78 times and made 86 appearances in high-pressure situations. The Phillies have utilized 345 relievers so far this season, earning 41 holds (26th in MLB).
This season, the Philadelphia Phillies have logged 2,767 putouts, 854 assists, and 52 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .986, currently ranking them15th in baseball. They have turned 59 double plays and have converted 67.1% of balls put into play into outs across 8,301 innings, placing them 29th in the league.
Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler has accumulated 1,828 innings in his MLB career, achieving a total of 1,937 strikeouts. With a career record of 123-77, he boasts a FIP of 3.17 and has faced 7,466 batters. His ERA rests at 3.22 with 654 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.123. Wheeler has allowed 1,541 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 512 walks.
The Miami Marlins hold a team slugging percentage of .407 and are averaging 4.41 runs per game, placing them 17th in MLB. They have hit 175 doubles, drawn 347 walks, and scored 459 runs this season. The Marlins have also smashed 106 home runs and tallied 442 RBIs, alongside 854 strikeouts (19th in MLB) and 870 hits, resulting in a .326 OBP and a .251 batting average.
The Marlins pitch with a WHIP of 1.251 and a FIP of 4.06. Their pitching staff ranks 4th in MLB for total hits allowed (784) and has given up 450 runs, recording a 4.05 ERA (411 earned runs). With a K/BB ratio of 8.60, they have struck out 876 batters and issued 358 walks while allowing 106 home runs and an average of 4.44 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).
In the bullpen, the Marlins sit at 15th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.9%. They have dispatched 334 pitchers from the bullpen this season. Their relievers have made 101 appearances in critical situations and 91 with base runners on. Out of 96 save opportunities, the Marlins have achieved 58 holds but have experienced 13 blown saves. They have successfully converted 23 out of 36 save chances, with a 21.1% scoring rate for inherited runners (133 inherited base runners).
Miami’s defense has executed 75 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in MLB). They have logged 855 assists, 68 errors, and 2,739 putouts across 8,217 innings, featuring a defensive efficiency of 70.8%, placing them 8th in the league.
Tyler Phillips, with a career record of 8-7, has posted a 3.87 ERA, allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He features a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.06 and has faced 815 batters. Phillips has conceded 83 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.299 and holds a FIP of 3.80. Throughout his career, he has allowed 184 hits and recorded 138 strikeouts over 193 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Choose Miami (+132) and under 8 runs
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