Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury Insights, 7/29/2026 WNBA Analysis, Tips, and Odds

Home » Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury Insights, 7/29/2026 WNBA Analysis, Tips, and Odds

  • Matchup: Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury
  • Date: Wednesday, July 29, 2026
  • Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
  • Broadcast: USA Network

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The Golden State Valkyries (19-8) are set to clash with the Phoenix Mercury (10-18) at the Mortgage Matchup Center this Wednesday.

In their most recent outing, the Golden State Valkyries took on the Washington Mystics, suffering a defeat with a final score of 90-82. The Valkyries posted a shooting percentage of 43.1%, making 31 of their 72 attempts and converting 12 out of 33 three-pointers. From the free-throw line, they achieved an accuracy of 72.7% by sinking 8 of 11 shots. On the boards, they secured a total of 23 rebounds, including 7 offensively. Teaming up for 21 assists, they also forced the Mystics into 16 turnovers, recording 10 steals. Defensively, Golden State allowed their opponents to shoot 52.5%, as the Mystics made 32 of 61 attempts. Washington managed 6 assists and 4 steals, along with 35 rebounds (6 offensively, 29 defensively) and 5 blocks, finishing with an 81.0% free-throw rate by converting 17 of their 21 tries and hitting 9 out of 21 shots from behind the arc.

Kahleah Copper Phoenix Mercury best picks and odds

Kaitlyn Chen emerged as a standout player in the last contest, scoring 20 points on 8 of 13 shooting in 24 minutes, while also grabbing 2 rebounds and dishing out 6 assists, showcasing her efficiency with a shooting percentage of 61.5%.

As the Valkyries head into this matchup with a commendable 19-8 record, they average 81.9 points per game (13th in the WNBA), shooting 41.9% from the field. Their three-point shooting stands at 34.7%, connecting on 286 of 824 attempts, and they convert 76.6% from the free-throw line. Golden State averages 32.2 rebounds per game and has distributed a total of 494 assists this season, ranking 15th in the league. They commit 10.7 turnovers and average 19.5 personal fouls each game. Defensively, the Valkyries force 13.8 turnovers per contest while giving up 42.3% shooting (718 of 1,697) and collecting 32.9 rebounds per game. They excel in assists allowed, ranking 2nd in the league with 498 given up this year, and hold opponents to a 34.5% shooting rate from three-point territory, leading the WNBA in points allowed per game at 76.4.

In their recent game, the Phoenix Mercury triumphed over the Los Angeles Sparks, winning 86-82. In this match, the Mercury grabbed 26 defensive and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 33. They committed 12 turnovers but managed to collect 10 steals. The Sparks committed 21 fouls, allowing the Mercury to attempt 13 free shots, of which they converted 9 for a 69.2% success rate. From distance, Phoenix hit 7 of 27 attempts (25.9%) and finished the game shooting 35 of 74 from the field, which equated to 47.3%. The Mercury’s defense let the Sparks shoot 28 of 70 (40.0%) and yielded 37 rebounds in total (10 offensive).

Kahleah Copper contributed significantly for the Mercury, scoring 21 points on 10 of 16 shooting with a field goal percentage of 62.5%, while pulling down 2 rebounds and providing 3 assists in 30 minutes of play.

Currently, Phoenix holds a record of 10-18 this season. They average 18.2 fouls per game and maintain a free-throw shooting percentage of 79.0%. The Mercury assist teammates 19.5 times per game, ranking 11th in the league, and turn the ball over 13.2 times per game. The team has accumulated 2,323 points this season (averaging 83.0 per game) and pulls down 31.5 rebounds. Offensively, they shoot 43.9% from the field, ranking 10th in the WNBA. Defensively, they rank 8th, allowing an average of 86.5 points per game. Phoenix’s defense permits 37.0% shooting from three-point land (275 of 744) and an 80.2% success rate from the free-throw line. They concede 20.8 assists and 33.6 rebounds per game, ranking 11th and 9th in the league respectively, while causing 13.3 turnovers and allowing teams to hit 46.3% of their field goals (9th overall).

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA clash against the spread?

Prediction: Back Phoenix to cover

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Pick: Phoenix Mercury to cover
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