Andreas Gustafsson vs Rinat Fakhretdinov
UFC Paris Event
Accor Arena, Paris, France
Scheduled for Saturday, September 6, 2025
Andreas Gustafsson is set to face Rinat Fakhretdinov at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 6, 2025. Current betting odds show Gustafsson at -120 and Fakhretdinov at +100.
Maheshate “Bane” Maheshate is eager to enhance his record of 12-2-0. The 34-year-old competitor will weigh in at 170 lbs and stands at 6′ 1″ tall, with a reach of 73 inches. Rinat “Gladiator” Fakhretdinov, aged 33, measures 6′ 0″ and also weighs in at 170 lbs. He boasts a reach of 74 inches and looks to improve his impressive career record of 23-1-1. In terms of striking, Gustafsson lands an average of 5.83 significant strikes per minute, while Fakhretdinov averages 4.78. Maheshate has a striking accuracy of 76%, compared to Fakhretdinov’s 52%. Defensively, “Bane” absorbs 2.79 significant strikes per minute, while “Gladiator” takes in 3.58 strikes. Maheshate defends against 45% of significant strikes, whereas Fakhretdinov successfully defends against 53%.
| UFC Paris Details | Andreas Gustafsson | Rinat Fakhretdinov |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -120 | +100 |
| Fighter Record | 12-2-0 | 23-1-1 |
| Average Fight Duration | 11:40 | 12:39 |
| Height | 6′ 1″ | 6′ 0″ |
| Weight Class | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 73″ | 74″ |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.83 | 4.78 |
| Striking Accuracy Percentage | 76% | 52% |
In terms of wrestling, Gustafsson showcases superior grappling skills, executing an average of 6.43 takedowns per 15 minutes. Maheshate successfully completes 58% of his takedown attempts and effectively defends against 85% of takedown attempts against him. Fakhretdinov completes 34% of his takedown attempts while successfully defending against 91%. When it comes to submission attempts, Maheshate averages 0.7 submission attempts per three rounds, while Fakhretdinov averages 0.2.
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In his last fight, Andreas Gustafsson faced off against Khaos Williams, securing a unanimous decision victory in the third round. Williams managed to land 95 of 134 total strikes, while Gustafsson impressively connected on 151 of 185 total strikes. Williams’s significant strikes resulted in a landing percentage of 52%, landing 29 of 63 aimed at the head. Conversely, Gustafsson achieved a striking accuracy of 76%, landing 98 of 128 significant strikes, with 67 out of 95 aimed at the head. Notably, 66% of Williams’s significant strikes landed were at distance, while Gustafsson managed a 27% connection at distance.
In Rinat Fakhretdinov’s most recent Octagon appearance, he faced Carlos Leal and won by unanimous decision in the third round. Leal landed 87% of his significant strikes at distance, while Fakhretdinov landed an impressive 88% of his. Fakhretdinov connected on 49% of his total strikes, achieving 109 out of 222, including 82 of 184 significant strikes directed at the head. Leal connected on 107 of 246 total strikes, landing 72 out of 207 significant strikes aimed at the head. Overall, in terms of strikes thrown, Leal landed 146 of 292 total strikes while Fakhretdinov achieved 119 out of 236 strikes.
Additional Matches to Watch
Another exciting matchup features Sam Patterson against Trey Waters. Patterson enters the cage with a record of 13-2-1. The 29-year-old fighter weighs 170 lbs and stands at 6′ 3″ with a reach of 78 inches. Waters, at 30 years old, measures 6′ 5″ and holds a record of 9-1-0, with a reach of 77 inches. In grappling, Sam Patterson averages 1.61 takedowns per three rounds, while Trey Waters averages 0.44. Striking-wise, Patterson lands an average of 3.17 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 41%, while Waters boasts a striking accuracy of 44%, landing an average of 6.43 per minute.
A notable matchup to keep an eye on is Robert Bryczek facing Brad Tavares. Bryczek, known as Rongzhu, holds a record of 21-11-0. At 37 years old, he fights at 185 lbs, standing at 6′ 1″ tall with a 74-inch reach. Bryczek, who is 35, stands at 6′ 0″ and weighs 185 lbs, bringing a record of 17-6-0. In grappling, Tavares successfully defends against 81% of takedowns, finishing 26% of his attempts, while Bryczek finishes 15% of his takedown attempts and defends against 85% of opponents’ takedowns. In striking statistics, Rongzhu absorbs 3.28 strikes per minute while delivering 3.42, while Bryczek absorbs 4.47 strikes per minute and deals 2.13 strikes.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald’s Recommendation: Bet on Rinat Fakhretdinov (+100)
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