- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (-144) Cincinnati (+120)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
The Pittsburgh Pirates (55-53) are set to face the Cincinnati Reds (50-56) at Great American Ball Park this Thursday. The current moneyline favors the Pirates at -144, while the Reds come in at +120. The game’s total has been established at 8.5 runs. Anticipated starting pitchers for this matchup are Hunter Barco and Rhett Lowder.
This season, the Pittsburgh Pirates are averaging 5.2 runs per game, ranking them third in the league. They have totaled 563 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .337. As a collective, the Pirates have hit 173 doubles and launched 137 home runs. They’ve accumulated 538 RBIs and racked up 980 hits, boasting a team batting average of .260. Their slugging percentage stands at .422, with 1,025 strikeouts and 393 walks recorded.
The Pirates have achieved a team ERA of 4.29 this season, placing them 21st in the league, while their pitchers have struck out 998 batters. The pitching staff has allowed 110 home runs and 523 runs (23rd in MLB). Their pitchers have issued 384 walks and the team’s Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 3.90. Pittsburgh has yielded 891 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and has recorded 462 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.60, with a WHIP of 1.32 for the staff.
The Pirates’ bullpen holds a save percentage of 52.5%, having entered 88 save situations and achieving 21 saves while failing in 19 of 40 chances. This season, the relievers have inherited 137 base runners, of which 30.7% have scored. Pirates’ relievers have pitched with runners on base 99 times and have high leverage appearances 101 times, sending 346 relievers to the mound this season. They have tallied 47 holds (25th in baseball).
With a defensive efficiency of 68.6%, the Pirates have turned 2,907 putouts, recorded 850 assists, and made 65 errors throughout the season. Their fielding percentage is .983, ranking them 23rd in MLB, and they have completed 85 double plays.
Hunter Barco has pitched 14 innings in his MLB career, striking out 11 while posting an ERA of 6.34, allowing 10 earned runs. His WHIP is 1.831, and he has given up 17 hits (10.8 hits per nine innings) and issued 9 walks. Barco holds a 1-1 career record and has a FIP of 6.24, facing 72 batters in the majors.
The Cincinnati Reds have hit 139 home runs this year, amassing 419 RBIs. They have also recorded 156 doubles, earned 378 walks, and scored 439 runs. The Reds maintain an on-base percentage of .308 and a batting average of .230. Their slugging percentage is .397, resulting in an average of 4.14 runs scored per game (26th in baseball). With 998 strikeouts (3rd in the league), they have a total of 815 hits.
As a pitching unit, the Reds have a WHIP of 1.414 and a FIP of 4.82 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.10 (850 strikeouts against 454 walks). They rank 16th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 879, and have permitted 138 homers, yielding 4.81 runs per nine innings (21st in baseball). Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 504 runs this season, with an ERA of 4.46 (467 earned runs).
Reds’ relief pitchers have seen a 26.3% score rate from inherited runners, having stepped in 129 times during critical situations and 119 times with runners on. With 104 save opportunities, they have achieved 59 holds and blown 17 saves, ranking 19th in save success at 60.5%. To date, they have used 377 relievers this season.
Cincinnati has turned 76 double plays and holds a fielding percentage of .985, ranking 18th in MLB. They have made 865 assists and 57 errors, accumulating 2,829 putouts throughout the season. The Reds have a defensive efficiency of 70.7% across their 8,487 innings, placing them 10th in baseball.
Rhett Lowder has a career record of 5-9, with an ERA of 4.37 and an average of 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.71 and has faced 481 batters throughout his MLB career. Lowder has allowed 52 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.493, and a FIP of 4.3. Over his career, he has allowed 109 hits while recording 87 strikeouts in 107 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or on the moneyline?
Selection: Choose Pittsburgh (-144)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
