- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: Marquee Network
- Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-144) Chicago Cubs (+120)
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The New York Yankees (currently at 61-47) are set to face off against the Chicago Cubs (also at 61-47) at Wrigley Field this Friday. The Yankees are favored at -144, while the Cubs stand at +120. The game features an over/under of 9 runs, with Will Warren and Shota Imanaga scheduled to pitch.
The New York Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .415, and they’ve struck out 984 times while earning 398 walks. This season, they’ve accumulated 480 RBIs and 838 hits, sporting a batting average of .234. The Yankees have recorded 163 doubles and 153 home runs, resulting in a total of 505 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .312. As a unit, the Yankees average 4.7 runs per game, placing them at 10th in the league.
The Yankees currently lead baseball with a team ERA of 3.40 and have struck out 963 batters. Their pitchers have allowed 106 home runs and a total of 417 runs (ranking 4th in the league). The pitching staff has issued 325 walks, with a FIP of 3.69 for the season. Over 813 hits have been conceded (7.6 per 9 innings), leading to 363 earned runs. The strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.96, while the team has a WHIP of 1.18.
Yankees relievers have come into play with runners on board 129 times, with 123 of those appearances in key situations. They’ve accumulated 56 holds (18th in the league) along with a save percentage of 60.4%, entering 105 save opportunities this season. Compared with 48 save chances, they have secured 29 saves but failed to convert 19. This season, Yankees relievers have inherited 187 runners, with 23.5% of them scoring.
The Yankees have converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs over 8,658 innings, ranking 7th in the league. To date, they have registered 2,886 putouts, 942 assists, and 62 errors, for a fielding percentage of .984, positioning them 20th in MLB, alongside 77 double plays.
Will Warren, with a career record of 16-16, has a FIP of 4.82 and has faced 1,271 batters so far in the majors. He has allowed 299 hits (averaging 9.4 hits per 9 innings) along with 111 walks. His earned run average is at 4.89, with 156 earned runs permitted, and a WHIP of 1.429. In total, Warren has pitched 287 innings, striking out 302 batters over his MLB career.
The Chicago Cubs stand with a .340 on-base percentage and a .248 batting average this season. They’ve been struck out 931 times (ranking 12th) and recorded 922 hits. The Cubs have clobbered 134 home runs and driven in 526 runs. With a team slugging percentage of .415, they’re scoring an average of 5.19 runs per game (2nd in MLB). They’ve also hit 179 doubles and drawn 469 walks, compiling a total of 560 runs.
On the pitching side, the Cubs have surrendered 473 runs thus far, resulting in a team ERA of 4.18 (with 447 earned runs allowed). They’ve given up 161 home runs and allow 4.42 runs per 9 innings, ranking 10th in the league. Their staff has a WHIP of 1.265 with a FIP of 4.70, and a K/BB ratio of 7.80 (837 strikeouts and 327 walks). Overall, they rank 19th for total hits allowed, with 890.
Ranked 26th in the league, their save rate is currently at 55.0%, having used 352 relievers this season. The bullpen has been called to action in 106 high-stakes situations and 108 times with runners on base. In 84 save opportunities, the Cubs have tallied 38 holds but 18 blown saves. Chicago relievers have entered 40 save chances, securing 22 of those saves. They have an inherited scoring rate of 31.8% from 154 inherited runners.
Across 8,664 innings, the Cubs have a defensive efficiency rating of 71.8% (3rd in MLB). They’ve executed 81 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in baseball). This season, they’ve registered 999 assists, with 41 errors and 2,888 putouts.
Shota Imanaga has allowed 370 hits in his MLB career, collecting 404 strikeouts over 439 innings pitched. With a 31-19 career record, his earned run average stands at 3.40, allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has permitted 166 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.032 and a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is an impressive 4.87, having faced 1,748 batters in his career.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Back New York Yankees (-144)
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