- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcasting: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Miami (+120) vs New York (-144)
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The Miami Marlins (55-54) are set to take the field at Citi Field on Friday, aiming to secure a victory against the New York Mets (46-63). Current odds place Miami at +120, while New York is favored at -144. The total points for this game are projected at 8. Anticipated starting pitchers include Janson Junk and Freddy Peralta.

The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .407, and have recorded 890 strikeouts against 365 walks this season. With a total of 462 RBIs and 908 hits, their team batting average stands at .251. Miami has achieved 180 doubles and blasted 112 home runs. They have scored 481 runs, establishing an on-base percentage of .327. Currently, the Marlins average 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 15th in Major League Baseball.
The Marlins currently boast a team ERA of 4.09, putting them at 10th place in the league, alongside 910 strikeouts by their pitchers. This season, the bullpen has yielded 110 home runs and a total of 475 runs (ranking 13th). Their pitchers have walked 371 batters, with a FIP of 4.05. Miami has allowed 831 hits, averaging 7.8 hits per 9 innings, and has given up 435 earned runs. They maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.25 overall.
This season, the Marlins have dispatched 349 relievers to the mound. The relievers have inherited 136 base runners, with 22.1% scoring. The bullpen has recorded 62 holds (11th in the league). Relief pitchers have been called into action with base runners 93 times and have appeared 105 times in high-pressure situations. They’ve achieved 25 saves out of 40 save opportunities, yielding a save rate of 62.5% in 104 save situations.
This year, the Miami Marlins have registered 2,874 putouts, 906 assists, and 70 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .982—ranking 24th in professional baseball. With a total of 84 double plays, Miami converts 70.6% of batted balls into outs, positioning them 10th in the majors.
Janson Junk has pitched for 223 innings, achieving 168 strikeouts in his professional career. His career ERA stands at 4.88, having allowed 121 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.326. He has given up 252 hits (10.2 per 9 innings) while issuing 44 walks. Junk has an 11-13 career record, with a FIP of 4.81 over 952 batters faced in the majors.
The Mets hold a SLG% of .383 and average 4.12 runs per game, ranking 26th in baseball. They’ve recorded 134 doubles, drawn 351 walks, and have scored 449 runs. New York has hit 129 home runs, accumulating 428 RBIs, while being struck out 920 times (13th in MLB) with 855 hits tallied. The team’s on-base percentage is .305, and their batting average is .234 for the season.
The pitching staff of the Mets has allowed 500 runs with an overall team ERA of 4.13 (445 earned runs). They’ve given up 118 home runs and yield 4.64 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Mets present a WHIP of 1.295 and a FIP of 3.99 this season. Their K/BB ratio stands at 9.20 (989 strikeouts to 380 walks), making them 14th overall in total hits allowed, with 876 hits given up.
The New York bullpen shows an inherited score percentage of 28.9% from 142 inherited base runners. Their relievers have entered 113 high-leverage situations and 103 instances with runners on base. With 73 save opportunities, the Mets have achieved 42 holds and 13 blown saves, ranking 21st in the league with a save rate of 58.1%. They have used 335 relievers this season.
The New York Mets have achieved 66 double plays and their fielding percentage is .981 (29th among the majors). They have tallied 884 assists, 72 errors, and 2,912 putouts this season. Over 8,736 innings played, their defensive efficiency stands at 69.3%, ranking 21st in MLB.
Throughout his professional career, Freddy Peralta has allowed 814 hits while striking out 1,266 batters across 1,044 innings pitched. With a career record of 75-51, he holds a 3.74 ERA, having allowed 7.0 hits per 9 innings with a WHIP of 1.170 and a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.10, and he has faced 4,365 batters during his career.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Miami (+120)
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