- Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians
- Scheduled Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Arizona (-132) Cleveland (+110)
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The Cleveland Guardians (56-54) are set to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (57-52) at Progressive Field this Sunday. The moneyline reflects the Diamondbacks at -132 and the Guardians at +110, with the total set at 8. The starting pitchers are Merrill Kelly for Arizona and Gavin Williams for Cleveland.
Arizona boasts a slugging percentage of .393, with 792 strikeouts this season compared to 359 walks. The team has produced 468 RBIs and amassed 883 hits, leading to a batting average of .242. The Diamondbacks have recorded 191 doubles and launched 104 home runs. They average 4.5 runs per game, positioning them 13th in the MLB.
With a team earned run average of 4.20 (17th in the league), Arizona’s pitching staff has struck out 737 batters and allowed 131 home runs along with 492 runs total (18th in the league). They’ve walked 316 opponents, and their FIP stands at 4.45. The Diamondbacks have permitted 936 hits this season, averaging 8.7 hits per nine innings, with a K/BB ratio of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.29.
Throughout the season, Diamondbacks relievers have come into play with runners on base 96 times, having made 121 appearances in high-leverage situations. Their bullpen has secured 66 holds (9th in the league) and registered a save percentage of 66.7%, converting 28 of 42 save opportunities. This relief corps has inherited 139 baserunners this season, with 24.5% scoring. A total of 363 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Diamondbacks this year.
Arizona has successfully turned 71.0% of balls in play into outs across 8,703 innings, ranking 6th in the league. The team has amassed 2,901 putouts, 961 assists, and committed 42 errors, resulting in a .989 fielding percentage, placing them in 3rd place among MLB teams, along with 95 double plays.
Merrill Kelly has logged 1,117 innings, achieving 982 strikeouts over his career. Sporting a win-loss record of 73-61, his FIP is 3.82, while his earned run average stands at 3.87 after allowing 481 earned runs. With a WHIP of 1.222, he has surrendered 1,023 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 342 walks.
Cleveland’s offense has a slugging percentage of .369 and averages just 3.93 runs per game (30th in MLB). So far, they’ve hit 164 doubles and drawn 394 walks, while scoring a total of 432 runs with 106 home runs and 414 RBIs. The Guardians have struck out 913 times (15th in MLB) and recorded 837 hits, showcasing a team OBP of .310 and a batting average of .230.
The Guardians’ staff holds a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 3.83, ranking 11th in most hits allowed with 873. Their pitching group has given up 446 runs this season, culminating in an ERA of 3.73 (404 earned runs). They have a strong K/BB ratio of 9.40, tallying 1,016 strikeouts against 357 walks, and allowed 121 home runs, yielding 4.12 runs per nine innings (9th in MLB).
In total, the Guardians’ bullpen has entered 133 save situations, achieving 87 holds and experiencing 10 blown saves. Their relievers have registered 34 saves from 44 opportunities, with an inherited scoring percentage of 25.5% from 165 inherited baserunners. The relievers have made 134 high-leverage appearances and pitched on 108 occasions with runners on base, boasting a 77.3% save rate (2nd in MLB) and utilizing 371 different bullpen pitchers this season.
During their 8,772 innings on the field, the Guardians have recorded a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in MLB), executing 74 double plays and maintaining a .985 fielding percentage (16th in MLB). They have accumulated 856 assists, committed 56 errors, and logged 2,924 putouts this season.
In his professional career, Gavin Williams has given up 373 hits, earning 501 strikeouts over 458 innings. He has allowed 183 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.228 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.64 as he has faced 1,913 hitters, with a career record of 28-26 and an ERA of 3.59, yielding 7.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB match against the spread or the moneyline?
Selection: Take Cleveland (+110) and the under 8 runs
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