- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
- Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
- Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
- Broadcast: Braves.TV
- Betting Odds: Miami (+120) Atlanta (-144)
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The Atlanta Braves, currently holding a record of 67-45, will face off against the Miami Marlins, who sit at 58-55, at Truist Park this Tuesday. The betting odds for this matchup show Miami at +120 and Atlanta at -144, with the over/under set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers are expected to be Ryan Gusto for Miami and Grant Holmes for Atlanta.
This season, the Miami Marlins boast a slugging percentage of .407, alongside a total of 918 strikeouts and 376 walks drawn. The team has achieved 477 RBIs and 938 hits, maintaining a batting average of .250. Miami has also recorded 184 doubles and hit 118 home runs, contributing to 496 runs scored, with an on-base percentage of .325. They are averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them 15th in the league.
The Marlins’ strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.48, with a pitching staff WHIP of 1.24. They have allowed 112 home runs and a total of 483 runs, ranking 12th in the league. Miami pitchers have given up 856 hits (averaging 7.8 hits per 9 innings) and 441 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.00 (11th in MLB). The Marlins have struck out 943 batters while walking 380, with a team FIP of 3.99 this season.
Miami’s relievers have a save rate of 65.1%, participating in 111 save opportunities. This season, they have recorded 28 saves but have failed on 15 out of 43 chances. Inherited runners have come into play 142 times, with 21.1% scoring. The bullpen has also faced runners on base 97 times and has made 111 appearances in high-leverage situations. A total of 361 pitchers have seen action from the bullpen, which has notched 66 holds (ranking 11th in MLB).
Defensively, the Miami Marlins have achieved 2,979 putouts, 939 assists, and made 72 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .982, ranking them 25th in the league. They’ve turned 86 double plays and converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs, sitting at 10th in professional baseball.
Ryan Gusto has pitched for 140 innings, accumulating 131 strikeouts in his career thus far. Gusto has a career record of 7-9 with a FIP of 5.50, facing 628 batters. His ERA sits at 5.58, having allowed 87 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.469. He has given up 157 hits at a rate of 10.1 hits per nine innings, alongside 49 walks.
The Atlanta Braves are performing with a slugging percentage of .418 and score an impressive 4.90 runs per game (6th in the league). The team has recorded 175 doubles and has drawn 336 walks, totaling 549 runs. With 150 home runs and 529 RBIs this year, the Braves have struck out 897 times (24th in baseball) with a total of 946 hits. Their on-base percentage sits at .315, with a team batting average of .249 this season.
The Braves’ staff records a team WHIP of 1.243 and a FIP of 4.14. They rank 5th in the league for total hits allowed, having given up 853. Atlanta’s pitching staff has conceded 441 runs this season, posting an ERA of 3.67 (406 earned runs). The strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.70 (960 strikeouts to 384 walks). They’ve allowed 130 home runs, averaging 3.99 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB).
With 132 save opportunities, the Braves have achieved 80 holds and recorded 14 blown saves. Their bullpen has stepped up in 49 save opportunities and secured 35 saves. Inherited scoring this year for Atlanta’s relievers stands at 23.9%, out of 117 inherited runners. They’ve had 124 high-pressure appearances and 82 situations with runners on base this season, boasting a 71.4% save rate and utilizing 358 relief pitchers.
In 8,958 innings, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (4th in the majors). They have executed 89 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in MLB). The team has achieved 914 assists, 53 errors, and 2,986 putouts this year.
Grant Holmes, throughout his career, has allowed 260 hits while striking out 280 batters over 285 innings. With a win-loss record of 12-14, Holmes boasts a 3.85 ERA, allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has given up 122 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.312 and a FIP of 3.8, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.46, facing 1,217 hitters thus far in his MLB journey.
Who will claim victory in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Miami (+120)
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