- Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat
- UFC Vegas 120
- Meta Apex in Las Vegas
- Saturday, August 8, 2026
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On Saturday, August 8, 2026, Steven Asplund will face off against Guilherme Pat in the Octagon at UFC Vegas 120. The opening betting odds showcase Asplund at -270, while Pat is positioned at +222.
Known as “Concrete,” Steven Asplund boasts a professional record of 7-2-0. At 28 years old, he weighs in at 260 lbs, stands 6’5″ tall, and has a reach of 78 inches. His opponent, Guilherme “Kong” Pat, has a record of 6-1-0, measuring 6’6″ and competing at 265 lbs, with a notable reach of 81 inches. In terms of striking, Asplund averages 10.05 significant strikes landed per minute, while Pat lands 2.70 per minute. Asplund has a striking accuracy rate of 51%, whereas Pat boasts a higher accuracy of 61%. Defensively, Asplund allows 6.64 significant strikes per minute, while Pat minimizes this to 2.03 strikes. Asplund successfully defends against 50% of strikes, while Pat manages to block 51%.
| UFC Vegas 120 | Steven Asplund | Guilherme Pat |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -270 | +222 |
| Record | 7-2-0 | 6-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:02 | 15:00 |
| Height | 6’5″ | 6’6″ |
| Weight | 260 lbs | 265 lbs |
| Reach | 78″ | 81″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 10.05 | 2.70 |
| Striking Accuracy | 51% | 61% |
When it comes to grappling, Asplund shows greater capability, taking his opponents to the mat 0.80 times per 15 minutes. He successfully executes takedowns on 15% of attempts and defends against 85% of all takedown attempts. Pat mirrors this statistic, finishing 15% of his takedown attempts and defending 85% as well. In submission attempts, Asplund averages 0.9 attempts per 3 rounds, while Pat averages 0.6.
In his latest bout, Steven Asplund experienced a defeat against Vitor Petrino via unanimous decision in round 3. Petrino landed 92 of his 162 total strikes in that match. Asplund managed to connect on 73 out of 172 attempts. Concerning significant strikes, Petrino landed 92 of 161, achieving a 57% success rate, successfully landing 59 of 126 significant strikes directed at the head. Asplund, by contrast, managed to land 38% of the significant strikes he attempted, hitting 61 out of 158, with 48 of 140 targeted at the head. Notably, 100% of Petrino’s and 95% of Asplund’s significant strikes occurred at a distance.
In Guilherme Pat’s previous fight, he faced Thomas Petersen and ultimately lost by majority decision in round 3. Petersen connected with 35% of the significant strikes he attempted from a distance, while Pat had a notable 94% connection rate at distance. Pat landed 54% of his significant strikes, converting 17 of 31 attempts, with 9 of 22 strikes aimed at the head. In contrast, Petersen landed 28 of 41 significant strikes in that bout, including 22 of 33 aimed at the head. Overall, Petersen threw 199 total strikes, successfully landing 164, while Pat managed to land 25 out of 42 total attempts.
Other Bouts to Watch
Another exciting matchup to catch is Amanda Lemos versus Alexia Thainara. Lemos is looking to improve her record to 15-6-1. The 39-year-old comes in at 115 lbs and stands 5’4″ tall with a reach of 65 inches. Thainara, also standing at 5’4″ and weighing 115 lbs, enters the fight with a record of 14-1-0, having a reach of 67 inches. In grappling, Lemos scores a takedown 1.02 times per 3 rounds, while Thainara executes 4.54 takedowns per 15 minutes. In striking, Lemos averages 2.75 strikes landed per minute with a striking accuracy of 55%, whereas Thainara connects on 43% of her strikes, landing an average of 4.62 per minute.
Another matchup worth watching is the showdown between Ravena Oliveira and Juliana Miller. Miller enters the Octagon with a record of 5-4-0. The 30-year-old fights at 125 lbs and stands 5’7″ tall, boasting a reach of 66 inches. Oliveira weighs in at 125 lbs and stands at 5’5″, holding a record of 7-4-1 with a reach of 65 inches. In takedowns, Miller successfully defends against 44% of her opponents’ attempts and manages a takedown success rate of 29%. Oliveira achieves a 50% takedown success rate and defends 46% of all attempted takedowns. In terms of striking, Miller absorbs 4.14 strikes per minute while delivering 2.65, whereas Oliveira withstands 3.72 strikes per minute, successfully landing 1.91 strikes.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC action against the spread?
Pick: Take Guilherme Pat (+222)
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