Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle Analysis, 08/08/2026 Insights UFC Vegas 120 Odds

Home » Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle Analysis, 08/08/2026 Insights UFC Vegas 120 Odds

  • Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle
  • UFC Vegas 120
  • Meta Apex in Las Vegas
  • Saturday, August 8, 2026

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Darren Elkins is set to battle Yadier del Valle at UFC Vegas 120 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Elkins enters the octagon with odds of +488, while del Valle is favored at -670.

Darren “The Damage” Elkins holds a record of 29 wins, 12 losses, and no draws. The 42-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands 5’10” tall, with a reach of 71 inches. Yadier “The Cuban Problem” del Valle, on the other hand, is 5’9″ and also competes at 145 lbs, looking to improve his record of 10 wins and 1 loss. At 30 years old, del Valle has a reach of 69 inches. In terms of significant strikes landed, Elkins averages 3.40 per minute while del Valle lands 4.05. Elkins has a striking accuracy of 38%, whereas del Valle connects with 60% of his attempts. Defensively, Elkins absorbs 3.34 significant strikes per minute, while del Valle takes in 2.16. Elkins effectively defends against 51% of the strikes thrown at him, compared to del Valle’s 55% defense rate.

UFC Picks for Darren Elkins Predictions and Best Bets
UFC Vegas 120 Darren Elkins Yadier del Valle
Opening Odds +488 -670
Record 29-12-0 10-1-0
Average Fight Time 11:41 9:09
Height 5’10” 5’9″
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 71″ 69″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.40 4.05
Striking Accuracy 38% 60%

In grappling statistics, Darren Elkins demonstrates superior wrestling efficiency, achieving takedowns 2.87 times every 15 minutes. He successfully brings opponents down with 34% of his takedown attempts while defending against 56% of his adversaries’ takedowns. Del Valle, however, completes 42% of his attempted takedowns and is proficient in stuffing 58% of the takedown attempts aimed at him. When it comes to submission attempts, Elkins averages 1.1 submissions over three rounds, while del Valle outperforms him with 2.0 submission attempts per three rounds.

Darren Elkins’ last fight was against Julian Erosa, where he suffered a loss via a strike to the head while grounded in the first round. Erosa connected on 69 of 92 total strikes in that matchup, while Elkins managed to land 18 out of 45 strikes attempted. In significant strikes, Erosa recorded 54 successful hits out of 73 attempts, achieving a 73% accuracy rate, with 52 of those targeting the head. Conversely, Elkins landed 41% of his significant strikes, hitting 13 of 31 attempts. His significant strike accuracy stood at 39% against head strikes, with 40% of Erosa’s strikes and 92% of Elkins’ strikes being delivered from a distance.

In his most recent fight, Yadier del Valle faced Jordan Leavitt and lost by unanimous decision in round 3. Leavitt achieved a striking accuracy of 70% from distance, while del Valle hit 53% from the same range. Vallet’s total significant strikes measured 13 of 42, with only 4 of those aimed at the head. Leavitt secured 17 of 45 strikes in this bout, connecting with 7 of 18 head strikes. In total strikes, Leavitt landed 45 out of 86 attempts, while Valle managed 76 out of 112.

Additional Fights to Watch on the Card

One exciting match to keep your eyes on features Ty Miller against Billy Ray Goff. Miller enters with a perfect record of 7-0-0 (1 NC). At 26 years old, he weighs 170 lbs and stands 6’2″ with a reach of 77″. Ray Goff measures in at 5’10” and weighs 170 lbs, holding a record of 9-4-0 at 28 years old with a reach of 72″. In grappling, Ty Miller records a takedown 0.80 times per three rounds while Billy Ray Goff averages 1.75 successful takedowns in the same time frame. In striking, Miller connects with 7.16 strikes per minute and has a striking success rate of 38%, while Goff lands 7.51 strikes per minute with a 46% success rate.

Another anticipated matchup features Bruno Lopes against Diyar Nurgozhay. Nurgozhay, sporting an 11-2-0 record, comes in at 205 lbs and 6’2″. His southpaw stance extends his reach to 74″. Meanwhile, Lopes, also fighting at 205 lbs and standing at 6’2″, has a record of 14-3-0 and a reach of 74″. Nurgozhay exhibits an impressive 80% takedown defense, successfully performing takedowns 75% of the time he tries. Lopes, with 21% of his takedown attempts successful, manages to thwart 85% of incoming takedown attempts. In the striking department, Nurgozhay absorbs 2.81 strikes per minute while landing 4.52, whereas Lopes incurs 4.21 strikes per minute and connects with 2.88.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC matchup?

Prediction: Bet on Darren Elkins (+488)

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Pick: Darren Elkins (+488)
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