- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Event Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
- Stadium: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: Brewers.TV
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (+125), Milwaukee (-150)
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On Wednesday, American Family Field will host the Milwaukee Brewers (69-43) as they face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (57-57). The moneyline favors the Pirates at +125, while the Brewers stand at -150. The total runs set for this showdown is at 9. Anticipated pitchers for this matchup include Paul Skenes for Pittsburgh and Kyle Harrison for Milwaukee.
The Pittsburgh Pirates feature a slugging percentage of .414, having struck out 1,076 times and drawn 414 walks this season. With 557 RBIs and 1,022 hits to date, their team batting average stands at .258. The Pirates have recorded 179 doubles and launched 139 home runs. They’ve scored a total of 582 runs and boast an on-base percentage of .335, averaging 5.1 runs per game, ranking them 4th in the league.
This season, the Pirates’ pitching staff has an earned run average (ERA) of 4.29, placing them 20th in the league, while striking out 1,059 batters. They’ve allowed 117 home runs and 551 runs, ranking 24th. Pitchers for the Pirates have walked 416 batters, and their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 3.92. Pittsburgh has given up 936 hits (averaging 8.3 per 9 innings) and 487 earned runs, with a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.33.
This season, 363 relief pitchers have appeared for the Pirates, inheriting 142 base runners, with a 32.4% scoring rate. The bullpen has secured 50 holds (24th in MLB) and has been tested in high-leverage situations 108 times. They’ve recorded 23 saves while failing to convert 20 out of 43 opportunities, resulting in a save rate of 53.5% across 94 save chances.
The Pirates have converted 68.6% of balls in play to outs over 9,186 innings, ranking them 27th in MLB. With 3,062 putouts, 891 assists, and 69 errors, their fielding percentage is .983, placing them 23rd in the league, complemented by 90 double plays executed.
Paul Skenes, with a career record of 30-22, holds a FIP of 2.47. He has faced 1,759 batters, surrendering 337 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) along with 106 walks. An ERA of 2.51 indicates he has allowed 124 earned runs with a WHIP of 0.997 over 444 innings and boasts 542 strikeouts in his MLB career.
On the other hand, the Milwaukee Brewers maintain an on-base percentage of .337 and a batting average of .253 this season. Striking out 916 times (22nd in MLB), they have amassed 959 hits, hitting 101 home runs and recording 528 RBIs. With a slugging percentage of .397, the Brewers score an average of 4.98 runs per game, ranking 5th in the league. They’ve connected for 203 doubles and have drawn 465 walks, tallying 558 runs overall.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 424 runs this season, with a solid ERA of 3.48 (387 earned runs). They’ve given up 110 home runs and permit 3.82 runs per 9 innings, a ranking of 2nd in the league. The team holds a WHIP of 1.164 and a FIP of 3.52, boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.80 (1,094 strikeouts vs. 351 walks) and rank 2nd overall in total hits allowed at 813.
Brewers relievers have a 42.9% score percentage for 126 inherited runners. Their bullpen has entered 108 times under high-leverage scenarios and on 88 occasions with runners on. With 102 save opportunities this season, they have achieved 52 holds with 15 blown saves, resulting in a save percentage of 69.4% and have deployed 341 bullpen pitchers this year.
The Milwaukee Brewers have executed 78 double plays and their fielding percentage stands at .987 (8th in MLB). They’ve tallied 867 assists, committed 49 errors, and secured 3,002 putouts throughout the season. Their defensive efficiency, calculated over 9,006 innings played, is 71.0% (8th in professional baseball).
Throughout his career, Kyle Harrison has given up 259 hits while striking out a total of 292 batters over 277 innings pitched. Harrison, with a career record of 17-11, maintains a 3.99 ERA and allows 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 123 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.247 and a FIP of 3.90, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.36 after facing 1,176 batters in the major leagues.
Who will secure victory in this evening’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Pittsburgh (+125)
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