- Matchup: New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (-128) Cleveland Guardians (+106)
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The Cleveland Guardians (57-56) are set to face off against the New York Mets (47-66) at Progressive Field this Wednesday. This matchup features New York at -128 on the moneyline while Cleveland stands at +106. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5, with Nolan McLean and Slade Cecconi taking the mound.
The Mets have recorded 139 doubles and hit 131 home runs as a team. With a slugging percentage of .380, New York has struck out 953 times compared to 360 walks. They are currently scoring an average of 4.0 runs per game, ranking 27th in Major League Baseball (MLB). This season, they have amassed 435 RBIs and 880 hits, holding a batting average of .232. Their on-base percentage stands at .303, with a total of 457 runs scored.
The Mets have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.60 and their collective WHIP is 1.29. They have allowed 124 home runs and 515 runs, ranking 19th in MLB. New York pitchers have given up 906 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and 459 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.10 (14th in MLB). They have recorded 1,017 strikeouts, issued 391 walks, and posted a collective FIP of 4.00 for the year.
The Mets’ relief pitching crew has a save rate of 59.4% from 74 opportunities, having secured 19 saves while failing to convert 13 out of 32 chances. They have inherited 146 base runners, with 29.5% scoring. This season, Mets pitchers have entered games with opponents on base 106 times and appeared in 115 high-leverage situations. They’ve used 345 different relievers and have recorded 42 holds (27th in the league).
So far, the New York Mets have registered 3,020 putouts, alongside 913 assists and 75 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .981, placing them at 29th in MLB. They have managed to turn 67 double plays and have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs over 9,060 innings, positioning them 19th in professional baseball.
In 173 innings, McLean has achieved 205 strikeouts in his MLB tenure. He boasts an earned run average (ERA) of 2.96 (allowing 57 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.103, giving up 130 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and 61 walks. McLean holds a win-loss record of 12-8 and has faced 710 major league hitters, with a FIP of 2.92.
The Cleveland Guardians have an on-base percentage of .310 and a team batting average of .231 this season. They rank 17th in the league with 936 strikeouts and have tallied 862 hits, hitting 109 home runs and driving in 428 RBIs. Cleveland’s slugging percentage stands at .370 as they score an average of 3.95 runs per game (29th in baseball). They have earned 169 doubles and 446 runs with 405 walks.
The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.262 and a FIP of 3.84 for the season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 9.40 (1,041 strikeouts to 367 walks). They rank 10th in MLB in total hits allowed, standing at 897. They have permitted 124 home runs and let in 4.15 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff has allowed 462 runs, with an ERA of 3.76 (418 earned runs).
Cleveland’s bullpen has inherited 27.1% of their 177 base runners. They have made 137 appearances in high-pressure situations and 114 with runners on base. In 134 save chances, the Guardians have earned 87 holds and have 11 blown saves. They rank 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 75.6%, using 383 bullpen pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Cleveland Guardians have turned 75 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). They have achieved 882 assists, committed 60 errors, and completed 3,005 putouts throughout the season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.4% over 9,015 innings, ranking 20th in the majors.
In his career, Cecconi has allowed 367 base hits and notched 277 strikeouts across 343 innings. He holds a 4.98 ERA and allows 9.6 hits per nine innings, giving up 190 earned runs thus far. His WHIP sits at 1.326, paired with a FIP of 4.9. Cecconi enjoys a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.15, having faced 1,467 batters in his MLB journey.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown, either against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Cleveland (+106)
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