- Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun
- Date: Friday, August 7, 2026
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
- Broadcast: ION
- Betting Odds: Phoenix (-5.5)
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The Connecticut Sun (7-23) face off against the Phoenix Mercury (12-20) at Mohegan Sun Arena this Friday. Phoenix enters as 5.5-point favorites, with an over/under set at 173.5.
In their previous game, the Phoenix Mercury faced the Atlanta Dream and suffered a defeat with a final score of 96-82. The Mercury managed a field goal percentage of 40.6% (26 of 64) and converted 7 of their 24 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, they were impressive, hitting 23 out of 26 for an 88.5% success rate. On the boards, they secured 28 rebounds, including 4 offensive grabs. Additionally, the team recorded 22 assists, forced 12 turnovers, and tallied 4 steals. Defensively, the Mercury allowed their opponents to shoot 47.1% from the floor, with Atlanta achieving 33 successful shots out of 70 attempts. The Dream also grabbed 38 rebounds (7 offensive, 31 defensive) and managed 6 blocks, while converting 16 of their 17 free throws for a stellar 94.1% rate. From beyond the arc, Atlanta hit 14 of 33 attempts.
Kelsey Plum stood out in the previous matchup, scoring 19 points on 60.0% shooting (6 of 10). She contributed 5 rebounds during her 26 minutes on the court and registered 4 assists.
The Mercury are currently sitting at 12-20 for the season. They have a three-point shooting percentage of 32.4% (247 of 763) and a free-throw conversion rate of 79.0%. Averaging 84.2 points per game (ranked 11th in the league) and shooting 44.4% from the field, they average 12.8 turnovers and 18.3 fouls per game. As a unit, Phoenix collects 31.3 rebounds and has tallied 635 assists this season, ranking 8th in assist totals. Defensively, the Mercury force 12.9 turnovers each game and draw 21.7 personal fouls. They allow opponents a 37.0% shooting percentage from beyond the arc and rank 9th in points allowed per game (87.6). Their opponents shoot 46.3% from the field, and they permit an average of 33.9 rebounds per game while conceding a total of 689 assists on the season, ranking them 13th in this category.
In their last outing, the Connecticut Sun faced a loss against the Dallas Wings, ending with a score of 83-63. The Sun managed to collect 22 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 31. They turned the ball over 15 times but recorded 6 steals throughout the game. The Wings committed 15 fouls, allowing the Sun 13 free-throw attempts, of which they converted 8 for a 61.5% success rate. From beyond the arc, Connecticut converted 9 of their 23 attempts (39.1%) and shot 34.3% overall (23 of 67). Defensively, the Sun allowed the Wings to shoot 47.8% (33 of 69) and conceded 38 rebounds overall (7 offensive).
Diamond Miller was a key contributor for the Sun, scoring 22 points on 53.3% shooting (8 of 15) and registering 4 rebounds in her 30 minutes of play.
Connecticut holds a record of 7-23 this season, having scored a total of 2,395 points (79.8 per game) while grabbing an average of 32.9 rebounds per game. The Sun commit an average of 22.9 personal fouls and have a free-throw percentage of 69.6%. Offensively, they shoot 43.3% from the field, ranking 14th in the WNBA. Assisting teammates at a rate of 19.2 times per game puts them at 14th in this category, and they average 13.9 turnovers per game. On the defensive end, Connecticut ranks 7th in points allowed per game with 87.3, forcing 14.6 turnovers, while permitting opponents to shoot 46.4% (10th in the league). The Sun’s defense allows a 35.8% shooting percentage from beyond the arc and concedes 79.2% from the free-throw line, allowing 20.0 assists and 32.8 rebounds nightly, ranking them 6th and 7th respectively.
Who will triumph in tonight’s WNBA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Go with Phoenix (-5.5)
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