- Matchup: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
- Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
- Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
- Broadcast: Braves.TV
- Odds: New York Mets (+106) Atlanta Braves (-128)
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This matchup at Truist Park features the Atlanta Braves (70-47) squaring off against the New York Mets (51-67) on Tuesday. The betting line places the Mets at +106 while the Braves sit at -128. The over/under is set at 8 runs. Starting pitchers anticipated for the game are Nolan McLean and Martin Perez.
The New York Mets currently score an average of 4.1 runs per game, ranking them 24th in the league. So far this season, they’ve accumulated 488 runs with an on-base percentage of .304. The Mets have hit 147 doubles and launched 141 home runs, recording 465 RBIs alongside 928 hits, resulting in a batting average of .234. Their slugging percentage stands at .385, having struck out 1,005 times while drawing 375 walks.
This year, the Mets hold a team ERA of 4.13 (14th in MLB) and have recorded 1,062 strikeouts. The team has allowed 126 home runs and given up 541 runs overall (19th in the league). Striking out 421 batters, they possess a FIP of 3.99. New York has permitted 958 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 483 of those were earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.52, and the collective WHIP of their pitching staff is 1.31.
Over the course of the season, the Mets have utilized 361 bullpen pitchers. These relievers have inherited 152 base runners, of which 29.6% scored. Collectively, the bullpen has achieved 46 holds (27th in MLB). Mets relievers have faced runners on base in 110 instances, featuring 120 high-leverage situations. They have successfully recorded 20 saves this season, failing in 14 of 34 save attempts, leading to a 58.8% save rate in 80 save opportunities.
The Mets have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs across 9,465 innings, putting them at 25th in the league. The team has tallied 3,155 putouts, 945 assists, and 79 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .981, which ranks them 29th in professional baseball, along with completing 73 double plays.
Pitcher Nolan McLean has logged 178 innings in his MLB career, securing 213 strikeouts with an earned run average of 3.13 (62 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.134. He has conceded 138 hits, averaging 7.0 hits per 9 innings, while issuing 64 walks. McLean boasts a career record of 13-8 and a FIP of 3.08, facing 736 opponents in the majors.
On the other side, the Atlanta Braves have a team slugging percentage of .420, averaging 4.91 runs per game (6th in MLB). They have 186 doubles, drawn 346 walks, and scored 574 runs. The Braves hit 158 home runs this season with 552 RBIs, but they’ve struck out 940 times (23rd in baseball) and secured 993 hits, while maintaining an OBP of .315 and a batting average of .250.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has surrendered 455 runs this season with an ERA of 3.63 (419 earned runs). They have allowed 132 home runs and average 3.94 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Braves have a collective WHIP of 1.241 and a FIP of 4.08. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (1,009 strikeouts against 404 walks), ranking 5th in MLB for overall hits allowed with 887.
Braves bullpen arms have an inherited scoring rate of 22.2% from 126 inherited runners, and they’ve appeared in 132 high-leverage situations as well as 87 times with runners on base. In 140 save opportunities, they have achieved 85 holds and encountered 15 blown saves, ranking 8th in MLB with a 70.6% save rate after sending 375 relievers to the mound this season.
Throughout 9,360 innings on defense, the Braves have a defensive efficiency rate of 71.5% (4th in MLB). They have executed 95 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in MLB), recording 951 assists, 56 errors, and 3,120 putouts this season.
Martin Perez, with a career record of 98-99, has an ERA of 4.34 while allowing 9.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.95 and has faced 7,477 hitters across his professional career. He’s permitted 835 earned runs, compiling a WHIP of 1.418 and a FIP of 4.3, while allowing 1,825 hits and securing 1,231 strikeouts over 1,731 innings pitched.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup, covering the spread or winning outright?
Prediction: Favor Atlanta (-128)
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