- Game: Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026
- Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (-150) Miami (+125)
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On Wednesday, the Miami Marlins (60-59) will face the Pittsburgh Pirates (58-62) at LoanDepot Park. The betting line indicates Pittsburgh at -150, while Miami comes in at +125. The game’s total is set at 8.5 runs, with expected starting pitchers being Carmen Mlodzinski and Janson Junk.
This season, the Pirates have a .412 slugging percentage with 1,135 strikeouts and 436 walks. They racked up 576 RBIs and 1,064 hits, leading to a batting average of .256. Pittsburgh has recorded 187 doubles and 145 home runs, totaling 602 runs while maintaining an on-base percentage of .334. Averaging 5.0 runs per game, they currently rank 3rd in MLB.
With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.55, the Pirates’ pitching staff boasts a WHIP of 1.33. They’ve allowed 125 home runs and given up 581 runs (25th in MLB). This season, they have surrendered 986 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 517 earned runs, leading to an ERA of 4.34 (21st in MLB) and striking out 1,113 batters. Additionally, they have issued 437 walks while achieving a FIP of 3.93.
Throughout the season, the Pirates have utilized 382 relief pitchers, with 33.8% of inherited runners scoring. The bullpen has 50 holds (25th in baseball) and has been called upon in many high-leverage situations, with 23 saves out of 43 opportunities, resulting in a save rate of 53.5%. They’ve made 94 save appearances.
In terms of defense, the Pirates have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs, ranking 27th in the league. With 3,215 putouts, 937 assists, and 71 errors, their fielding percentage stands at .983, placing them 21st in professional baseball. They’ve successfully turned 94 double plays this season.
Carmen Mlodzinski has pitched 282 innings, securing 246 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 19-20, he possesses a FIP of 3.30, having faced 1,198 batters. His ERA is 3.35, allowing 105 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.300 and 96 walks surrendered.
The Miami Marlins have hit 120 home runs and collected 503 RBIs. They achieved 195 doubles while drawing 399 walks and scoring 524 runs. With an OBP of .326, their batting average currently stands at .251. The Marlins have a team SLG% of .405, averaging 4.40 runs per game (18th in MLB). They’ve struck out 966 times (20th overall) and tallied 993 hits.
Miami’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.247, with a FIP of 3.99 this season. Ranked 7th in MLB for fewest hits allowed (905), they’ve given up 509 runs with a team ERA of 3.97 (460 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.60, yielding 997 strikeouts against 397 walks while allowing 120 home runs and an average of 4.39 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).
Currently, Miami ranks 15th in the league with a 65.1% save percentage, having deployed 382 bullpen pitchers. Their relievers have encountered 113 high-pressure situations and have been called in 101 times with runners on base. With 111 save situations, they’ve achieved 66 holds and suffered 15 blown saves. In 43 save opportunities, they converted 28 saves, with an inherited runner scoring rate of 22.3% from 148 inherited runners.
The Marlins have completed 88 double plays and have a fielding rate of .981 (29th in professional baseball). With 978 assists, 79 errors, and 3,132 putouts, their defensive efficiency stands at 70.6% over 9,396 innings, ranking 10th in professional baseball.
In his professional career, Janson Junk has allowed 260 hits and secured 173 strikeouts in 231 innings pitched. Holding a career win-loss record of 12-14, he has an ERA of 4.79 and permits 10.1 hits per 9 innings, along with 123 earned runs. His WHIP is 1.328, with a FIP of 4.7 and a K/BB ratio of 3.68, having faced 986 batters.
Will Miami clinch victory in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Select Miami (+125)
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