- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (-122) Miami (+102)
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The Miami Marlins (61-59) will look to secure a victory against the Pittsburgh Pirates (58-63) at LoanDepot Park on Thursday. The betting odds favor the Pirates at -122, while the Marlins sit at +102. The over/under for the matchup is set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers are Braxton Ashcraft and Tyler Phillips.
The Pirates have posted a slugging percentage of .410, accumulating 1,145 strikeouts and earning 438 walks this season. They have driven in 576 runs and racked up 1,068 hits, boasting a batting average of .256. Pittsburgh has recorded 187 doubles and belted 145 home runs. They’ve scored a total of 602 runs and maintain an OBP of .333, averaging 5.0 runs per game, which positions them 4th in the league.
The Pirates have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.56, with their pitching staff holding a WHIP of 1.33. Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 126 home runs and a total of 583 runs (ranking 24th in MLB). They’ve given up 991 hits (averaging 8.3 per 9 innings) and 518 earned runs, leading to a team ERA of 4.32 this season (21st in MLB). Their strikeout total stands at 1,122, with 439 walks issued, and a FIP of 3.93.
Pirates relievers have recorded a save percentage of 53.5% across 94 save situations, achieving 23 saves while missing 20 of their 43 save opportunities. So far this season, 145 inherited runners have been faced, with 33.8% of these scoring. The bullpen has been on the mound during 103 games with runners on base and has faced high-leverage situations 108 times. Pittsburgh’s relief pitchers have made 383 appearances this year, managing to secure 50 holds (25th in MLB).
The Pirates currently have 3,239 putouts, 942 assists, and 73 errors this season, resulting in a fielding percentage of .983, ranked 24th in the league. They’ve executed 96 double plays and converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of a total of 9,717 innings, ranking them 27th in professional baseball.
Ashcraft has pitched a total of 201 innings, accumulating 216 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 15-9, he holds a FIP of 3.57 while facing 838 hitters in the majors. His ERA stands at 3.62 (81 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.192. He has permitted 184 hits (8.2 hits/9 innings) along with 56 walks.
The Miami Marlins have tallied 121 home runs and 504 RBIs this season, including 195 doubles. They have walked 401 times, contributing to 526 total runs. The Marlins maintain a .326 on-base percentage and a .250 batting average. Their slugging percentage is .404, and they average 4.38 runs per game (18th in the league). They’ve struck out 975 times (22nd in MLB) and amassed 998 hits.
Miami’s team WHIP stands at 1.242, with a FIP of 3.96. They rank 6th in the league for hits allowed, with 909. The Marlins pitching staff has allowed a total of 509 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.93 (460 earned runs). Their strikeout to walk ratio is an impressive 8.60 (1,007 strikeouts to 399 walks), conceding 120 home runs, while giving up 4.35 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB).
In 113 save opportunities, the Marlins have secured 67 holds and recorded 15 blown saves. Miami’s relievers have entered 44 save chances, successfully converting 29 of those. Their inherited score percentage is 22.3% out of 148 inherited runners. With 113 appearances in high-leverage situations and 101 with runners on base, they have a league-average save percentage of 65.9%, utilizing 384 relievers this season.
The Marlins have turned 89 double plays and possess a fielding percentage of .981, ranking 29th overall. They have registered 984 assists, 79 errors, and 3,159 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency is at 70.6% over 9,477 innings (10th in professional baseball).
Throughout his career, Phillips has surrendered 198 hits with 150 strikeouts over 207 innings. He has given up 88 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.293 and a FIP of 3.8. Holding a career record of 9-7, he possesses a 3.82 ERA while yielding 8.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Take Miami (+102)
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