- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Miami (-196) Cincinnati (+162)
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The Miami Marlins (62-59) are traveling to Great American Ball Park this Friday to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (57-62). The odds for this matchup favor the Marlins at -196, while the Reds are listed at +162. The game has an over/under set at 8.5 runs. Expected starting pitchers include Sandy Alcantara and Chase Burns.
As a team, the Marlins have hit 197 doubles and launched 123 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .405, they have struck out 980 times while also securing 409 walks. Averaging 4.4 runs per game, Miami ranks 17th in MLB, amassing 512 RBIs and 1,007 hits, leading to a cumulative batting average of .251. They’ve scored 534 runs with an on-base percentage of .327.
The Marlins boast a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff has achieved a combined WHIP of 1.24. This season, Marlins pitchers have allowed 120 home runs and 511 runs, ranking 10th in the league. They’ve conceded 915 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and 461 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.91 (10th in baseball). Their pitchers have also recorded 1,012 strikeouts, with 401 walks, and a FIP of 3.95 for the season.
The Miami bullpen has registered a save rate of 65.9%, entering 113 save opportunities, successfully converting 29 saves while failing on 15 out of 44 attempts. Relief pitchers have faced 148 inherited runners throughout the season, with a scoring rate of 22.3%. This year, the Marlins have utilized 387 relief pitchers, who have accumulated 67 holds, ranking 12th in MLB.
Defensively, the Marlins have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs across 9,558 innings, placing them 10th in professional baseball. The team has tallied 3,186 putouts, 997 assists, and 80 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .981, which ranks 29th. They have executed 90 double plays.
Starting pitcher Alcantara has pitched 1,238 innings and recorded 1,059 strikeouts in his career, holding an earned run average (ERA) of 3.63 (500 earned runs allowed). With a WHIP of 1.176, he has allowed 1,084 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and issued 372 walks. Alcantara’s career record stands at 65-73, with a FIP of 3.58 against 5,099 batters faced in the majors.
On the other hand, the Cincinnati Reds have registered 155 home runs and accumulated 464 RBIs this season. Additionally, they’ve hit 173 doubles, drawn 428 walks, and scored 487 runs. The Reds have a team batting average of .227, an on-base percentage of .307, and a slugging percentage of .394, averaging 4.09 runs per game (ranking 25th in the league). They lead the league in strikeouts with 1,136 and have achieved a total of 899 hits.
Defensively, the Reds have given up 565 runs and maintain a team ERA of 4.48 (526 earned runs). They’ve surrendered 151 home runs while allowing 4.81 runs per 9 innings, ranking 21st in MLB. The team’s WHIP stands at 1.401, with a FIP of 4.69 this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.10 (953 strikeouts against 493 walks), placing them 15th in total hits allowed with 988.
In terms of saves, the Reds rank 16th with a success rate of 62.5%. Their relief pitching staff has utilized 420 pitchers this year, with 146 high-leverage appearances and 129 instances with runners on base. Out of 117 save situations, they’ve secured 66 holds with 18 blown saves, achieving 30 saves in 48 opportunities. Their inherited runners have a scoring rate of 28.0% from 182 inherited chances.
Overall, the Reds’ defense has achieved a 70.5% efficiency rating (ranked 11th in professional baseball) with a fielding percentage of .985 (18th). They’ve executed 82 double plays this season, contributing to a total of 964 assists with 63 errors and 3,171 putouts.
Burns, with a career record of 13-5, demonstrates a solid ERA of 3.12, permitting 7.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.39, having faced 690 batters throughout his career. Burns has allowed 58 earned runs, sporting a WHIP of 1.173 and a FIP of 3.1. He has permitted 134 hits while earning 210 strikeouts in 167 innings pitched.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s MLB clash, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Take Cincinnati (+162)
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