- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Miami (-160), Cincinnati (+132)
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On Sunday, the Cincinnati Reds (58-62) will battle the Miami Marlins (62-60) at Great American Ball Park. The Marlins are currently favored at -160, while the Reds are set at +132. The over/under for this matchup stands at 8.5, with Eury Perez and Nick Lodolo taking the mound as starting pitchers.
This season, the Miami Marlins are sporting a slugging percentage of .404, with a total of 990 strikeouts and 410 walks. They’ve amassed 513 RBIs and 1,010 hits, leading to a batting average of .250. The Marlins have also achieved 197 doubles and hit 124 home runs, accumulating 535 runs with an on-base percentage of .326. Miami’s scoring averages 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 18th in Major League Baseball.
The Marlins currently hold a team ERA of 3.98, placing them 10th in MLB, with a total of 1,021 strikeouts recorded. Their pitching lineup has permitted 124 home runs and 524 earned runs, ranking 11th overall. The team’s walk rate sits at 405, with a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 3.99. Miami has allowed 931 hits (averaging 7.8 per 9 innings) and their WHIP (Walks and Hits Per Inning Pitched) is 1.25.
This season, the Marlins bullpen has a save rate of 65.9%, having participated in 113 save situations. They have converted 29 saves out of 44 opportunities, with 15 blown saves to date. Additionally, the relief pitchers have inherited 150 runners, with 23.3% of those scoring. The bullpen has made 102 high-leverage appearances, tallying 67 holds, which ranks them 13th in MLB.
In the field, Miami has turned 70.6% of balls in play into outs, ranking 10th in professional baseball. They have recorded a total of 3,213 putouts, 1,007 assists, and made 80 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .981, currently 29th in MLB, and completing 90 double plays.
Eury Perez, with a career record of 18-21, has a FIP of 3.55 across 1,230 opposing batters faced. He has given up 225 hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) while allowing 107 walks. His earned run average is 3.60 (121 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.098, spanning 302 innings pitched and achieving 341 strikeouts in his career.
The Cincinnati Reds have a team on-base percentage of .307 and a batting average of .227 this season. They’ve been struck out 1,142 times (third in the league) and have achieved 907 hits overall. Cincinnati boasts 158 home runs and 473 RBIs, with a slugging percentage of .395, averaging 4.13 runs per game, placing them 23rd in the league. They’ve hit 173 doubles and taken 434 walks, totaling 496 runs.
Cincinnati’s WHIP stands at 1.405 with a team FIP of 4.67 for the season. This places them 18th in terms of total hits allowed, having conceded 1,000 hits. The Reds’ pitching staff has allowed a total of 573 runs with a team ERA of 4.51 (534 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.10 (965 strikeouts to 498 walks), and they’ve surrendered 151 home runs, allowing 4.84 runs per 9 innings, ranking 21st in MLB.
With 119 save situations, the Reds have achieved 67 holds and 18 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have entered 49 save opportunities, securing 31 saves. The relief staff holds an inherited scoring percentage of 28.0% from 186 inherited baserunners. They’ve entered 149 high-leverage situations, with 131 appearances while managing runners. The Reds are currently positioned 16th in the league with a 63.3% save rate, deploying 426 relievers in the season.
Defensively, the Cincinnati Reds have made 82 double plays and maintained a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in the major leagues). They have collected 969 assists, committed 63 errors, and achieved 3,198 putouts in the current season. With 9,594 innings played, Cincinnati’s defensive efficiency stands at 70.4% (12th in MLB).
In his professional career, Nick Lodolo has allowed 449 hits with 511 strikeouts across 475 innings on the mound. Lodolo has a win-loss record of 27-24, a 4.18 ERA, and has given up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 221 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.247 and a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio rests at 3.55 as he has faced 2,039 batters in his career.
Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Cincinnati (+132)
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