St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Outlook, 8/17/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Outlook, 8/17/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
  • Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
  • TV: Reds.TV
  • Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+132) Cincinnati (-160)

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The Cincinnati Reds (59-63) are set to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (62-61) at Great American Ball Park on Monday. The betting odds reflect St. Louis at +132, while Cincinnati stands at -160. The game total has been established at 8. Starting pitchers for this matchup are Quinn Mathews and Chase Petty.

MLB Predictions for Matt McLain and Cincinnati Reds

The St. Louis Cardinals are currently averaging 4.4 runs per game, ranking 19th in Major League Baseball. They have accumulated 537 runs with an on-base percentage of .315. The team has hit 171 doubles and launched 127 home runs this season. Additionally, the Cardinals have recorded 524 RBIs and logged 984 hits throughout the year, maintaining a batting average of .239. Their slugging percentage stands at .380, while they have struck out 943 times and drawn 398 walks.

The Cardinals’ strikeout to walk ratio is 2.24, with a collective WHIP of 1.34 across their pitching staff. They have surrendered 120 home runs and a total of 537 runs (ranking 13th in MLB). St. Louis has allowed 1,050 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) leading to 493 earned runs this season. Their team ERA is 4.04, placing them 12th in the league, with 935 strikeouts recorded. They have also walked 417 opposing batters, with a FIP of 4.10 so far.

The Cardinals’ relief pitchers have a save success rate of 61.4%, having entered 140 save situations this season, notching 35 saves while failing in 22 out of 57 opportunities. The bullpen has inherited 191 base runners, with 36.6% scoring. They’ve entered games with runners on base 129 times and have made 153 appearances in high-leverage situations, sending 410 relief pitchers to the mound this year. They have achieved 79 holds (6th best in baseball).

Defensively, the Cardinals have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs over 9,876 innings, placing them 19th in professional baseball. They have accounted for 3,292 putouts, 1,161 assists, and 54 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .988, ranking 5th in Major League Baseball, along with 124 double plays turned.

Quinn Mathews, with a career record of 0-1, possesses a FIP of 3.55, having faced 24 batters in his major league tenure. He has given up 6 hits (10.8 hits per nine innings) alongside 3 walks. His ERA is recorded at 3.60 (2 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.800 over 5 innings, during which he has compiled 3 strikeouts.

The Cincinnati Reds have a slugging percentage of .394, generating 4.11 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have hit 177 doubles and drawn 438 walks while accumulating 501 runs this season. Cincinnati boasts 160 home runs and 478 RBIs, with 1,158 strikeouts (3rd in MLB) and 921 hits. The team’s on-base percentage stands at .307, while their batting average is .227 for the season.

The Reds currently hold a WHIP of 1.402, with a team FIP of 4.65 this season. They rank 18th in total hits allowed with 1,018. The pitching staff has conceded 581 runs and holds an ERA of 4.50 (542 earned runs). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.20 (984 strikeouts vs 502 walks) with 153 home runs surrendered, allowing 4.82 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB).

Cincinnati’s bullpen has a 28.4% inherited scoring rate from 190 inherited base runners. They have appeared 154 times in high-leverage scenarios and faced runners on base 133 times. With 123 save opportunities, the Reds have achieved 69 holds and 19 blown saves this season. Currently, they rank 16th in league-wide save percentage at 62.7%, having utilized 433 relief pitchers this year.

In 9,756 innings, the Reds defense has a play efficiency of 70.3% (12th in MLB). They have executed 84 double plays and recorded a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB), contributing to 985 assists, 64 errors, and a total of 3,252 putouts to date.

In his career, Chase Petty has allowed 45 hits over 37 innings with 22 strikeouts. He’s given up 30 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.667, and has a FIP of 7.1. His strikeout to walk ratio stands at 1.29, having faced 179 opposing hitters. Petty has a career record of 1-5 with a 7.26 ERA and allows 10.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Prediction: Bet on St. Louis (+132)

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Pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+132)
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