- Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: St. Louis (-122) Cincinnati (+102)
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The Cincinnati Reds (59-64) are set to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (63-61) at Great American Ball Park this Wednesday. The moneyline for this encounter features the Cardinals at -122, while the Reds open at +102. The total runs for the game are over/under 8.5. Look out for the starting pitchers, Matthew Liberatore and Chase Burns, to take the mound.
The Cardinals have recorded a slugging percentage of .382 while striking out 952 times and earning 403 walks. To date, they have accumulated 535 RBIs and 997 hits, boasting a team batting average of .240. As a unit, the Cardinals have hit 176 doubles and 129 home runs, resulting in 548 runs scored and a team on-base percentage of .316. St. Louis is averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them 18th overall in Major League Baseball.
With a K/BB ratio of 2.24, the Cardinals’ pitching unit holds a collective WHIP of 1.34. They have allowed 122 home runs and 541 runs, ranking 12th in the league. St. Louis has yielded 1,056 hits (averaging 8.6 hits per 9 innings) and 497 earned runs, with a team ERA of 4.04 (also 12th in MLB). Their pitching staff has struck out 946 batters this season while issuing 422 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.11 for the team.
This season, the Cardinals have used 413 relievers. The bullpen has inherited 192 base runners, with a 36.5% scoring rate. They have also achieved 79 holds, ranking 7th in the league. This year, Cardinals pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 130 times, facing 153 high-leverage situations. Their 35 saves thus far indicate a save percentage of 61.4%, with 140 total save opportunities.
Turning balls in play into outs, the Cardinals have recorded a rate of 69.5% over 9,957 innings, positioning them at 20th in professional baseball. They have 3,319 putouts, 1,174 assists, and 54 errors for a .988 fielding percentage, which ranks 5th in MLB alongside 124 double plays executed.
Matthew Liberatore has a career win-loss record of 21-34 with a FIP of 4.68, having faced 1,961 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 479 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and issued 155 walks. His earned run average stands at 4.75 (239 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.400 over his 453 innings pitched, tallying 388 strikeouts during his career.
The Reds have a slugging percentage of .393, scoring an average of 4.08 runs per game (25th in MLB). They have amassed 177 doubles, drawn 443 walks, and scored 502 runs. With 161 home runs this season and 479 RBIs, the Reds have struck out 1,166 times (3rd in the league), totaling 925 hits, a team on-base percentage of .306, and a .226 batting average this year.
On the pitching side, the Reds have conceded 588 runs this season, maintaining a team ERA of 4.51 (548 earned runs). They have allowed 155 home runs while giving up 4.84 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). Their team WHIP stands at 1.404, alongside a squad FIP of 4.67 this season. With a K/BB ratio of 8.20 (resulting from 992 strikeouts against 509 walks), they rank 18th in MLB for total hits allowed (1,026).
With 123 save situations this year, the Reds have 69 holds and 19 blown saves. Their relievers have entered 51 save opportunities, securing 32 saves. Cincinnati’s bullpen has an inherited score percentage of 28.0% from 193 inherited base runners. They have made 156 appearances in high-leverage situations and entered 134 times with base runners present, sitting at 16th in the league with a save percentage of 62.7%, having called on 436 bullpen pitchers this season.
The Reds have achieved 85 double plays this year, holding a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in MLB). They have 994 assists, 67 errors, and 3,279 putouts throughout the season. Their defensive efficiency is pegged at 70.3% over 9,837 innings played (12th in pro baseball).
Chase Burns, in his career, has allowed 138 hits and boasts 218 strikeouts in 174 innings. With a career record of 14-5, Burns possesses a 3.00 earned run average and allows 7.1 hits every 9 innings. He has surrendered 58 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.149 and a FIP of 3.0, while maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.52 during his MLB career.
Who emerges victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Back St. Louis (-122)
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