St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Analysis, 8/20/2026 MLB Insights, Top Wagers & Odds

Home » St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Analysis, 8/20/2026 MLB Insights, Top Wagers & Odds

  • Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds
  • Event Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
  • Broadcast: Reds.TV
  • Betting Odds: St. Louis (-160) Cincinnati (+132)

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On Thursday, the Cincinnati Reds (60-66) are set to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (65-62) at Great American Ball Park. The Cardinals are favored at -160 on the moneyline, while the Reds are positioned at +132. The over/under for this matchup is established at 8.5 runs. Pitching duties will be handled by Michael McGreevy and Brady Singer.

MLB predictions for the St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have produced a slugging percentage of .382 with 981 strikeouts, coupled with 413 walks for the season. They’ve achieved 545 RBIs and contributed 1,023 hits, placing their team batting average at .240. Notably, St. Louis has a total of 183 doubles and 131 home runs. Scoring 558 runs, they hold an on-base percentage (OBP) of .316. As a collective, the Cardinals average 4.4 runs per game, ranking 19th in Major League Baseball.

Currently, the Cardinals have a team ERA of 3.99, ranking 12th overall in MLB, and their pitching staff has recorded 979 strikeouts. This season, they’ve allowed 124 home runs and 548 runs scored, also placing them 12th in the league. With 427 walks issued, their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.06. To date, St. Louis pitchers have given up 1,075 hits (averaging 8.5 hits per 9 innings) and 503 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.29, complemented by a WHIP of 1.33.

The bullpen for the Cardinals boasts a save percentage of 62.7%, having appeared in 148 save opportunities this season. They have secured 37 saves, facing an unsuccessful conversion in 22 out of 59 chances. With 192 inherited runners, 36.5% have crossed the plate. St. Louis relief pitchers have entered games under high-pressure scenarios 161 times throughout the season and dispatched 424 relievers to the mound, achieving 85 holds, ranking 4th in the league.

This season, the St. Louis Cardinals have recorded 3,400 putouts, 1,196 assists, and committed 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988, placing them 3rd in MLB, and they’ve turned 126 double plays. They convert 69.6% of balls put into play into outs across 10,200 innings of play, ranking 18th in professional baseball.

McGreevy has logged 250 innings in his MLB journey, earning 167 strikeouts with an earned run average of 3.71 (allowing 103 earned runs). His WHIP is at 1.195, yielding 243 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 56 walks. Holding a mixed career record of 16-13, McGreevy’s FIP stands at 3.65, having faced 1,024 hitters in his time in the majors.

The Cincinnati Reds have tallied 163 home runs with 486 RBIs. They’ve also achieved 181 doubles, with 448 walks and a total of 509 runs scored. For the season, the Reds have an on-base percentage of .305 and a batting average of .226. Their slugging percentage checks in at .391, averaging 4.04 runs per game (27th in the league). The Reds have struck out 1,199 times (2nd in MLB) and have hit 944 base hits this season.

Cincinnati’s pitching has a WHIP of 1.401 and a collective FIP of 4.63. They rank 20th in total hits allowed with 1,051, and they’ve yielded 598 runs with an overall team ERA of 4.48 (558 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is 8.20, indicating 1,021 strikeouts against 519 walks. A total of 157 home runs have been hit against them, allowing 4.80 runs per 9 innings (21st across MLB).

Reds relievers have inherited a scoring on 27.8% of 194 inherited runners. They have appeared in high leverage situations 157 times and have entered games with runners on base 136 occasions. With 123 save opportunities, the Reds have managed 69 holds and faced 19 blown saves. Their save rate of 62.7% places them 17th in professional baseball, having sent 443 bullpen players to the mound this season.

This year, the Cincinnati Reds have recorded 87 double plays and possess a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in professional baseball). They’ve achieved 1,017 assists, made 69 errors, and tallied 3,363 putouts throughout the current season. Their defensive efficiency is at 70.3% (13th in the majors) over 10,089 innings played.

Brady Singer, holding a career record of 55-67, has an earned run average of 4.29, allowing 9.0 hits per nine innings. He possesses a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.89, having faced 4,207 hitters throughout his career. He’s surrendered a total of 467 earned runs while boasting a WHIP of 1.326 and a FIP of 4.20. Over his professional career, Singer has allowed 984 base hits and has notched 912 strikeouts in 980 innings pitched.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s matchup, covering the spread or cashing in on the moneyline?

Prediction: Back St. Louis (-160)

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Pick: St. Louis Cardinals (-160)
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