- Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: Padres.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+120) | San Diego (-144)
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The Minnesota Twins (63-65) are headed to Petco Park on Saturday to face off against the San Diego Padres (68-60). The odds for this matchup place the Twins at +120, while the Padres are favored at -144. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs. The starting duel will feature Dean Kremer against Casey Mize.
The Twins boast a slugging percentage of .406 and have registered 1,035 strikeouts while drawing 420 walks. They have amassed 564 runs batted in and a total of 1,062 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .246. As a team, the Twins have recorded 210 doubles and 147 home runs, accumulating a total of 592 runs scored, with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .321. The Minnesota Twins have averaged 4.6 runs per game, placing them 9th overall in the league.
On the pitching side, the Twins have an earned run average (ERA) of 4.62 this season (ranking 25th in the league), with their staff striking out 1,058 batters. They have allowed 147 home runs and 633 total runs (26th in MLB). Collectively, their pitchers have walked 466 hitters, and their FIP stands at 4.29 for the season. Minnesota has given up 1,091 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) alongside 580 earned runs. With a K/BB ratio of 2.27, their team WHIP is 1.38.
The Twins’ bullpen has achieved a save percentage of 72.5%, appearing in 141 save situations. They have successfully converted 37 saves this year but have failed on 14 of their 51 attempts. Their relievers have inherited 177 runners, with 36.2% of those scoring. The Twins’ pitchers have faced runners on base 122 times and have logged 140 appearances in high-leverage situations. This season, the bullpen has sent 427 pitchers to the mound, accumulating 86 holds, ranking 4th in MLB.
Defensively, the Twins have converted 69.3% of balls in play into outs across 10,176 innings, placing them 24th in the majors. Their defensive record includes 3,392 putouts, 974 assists, and 59 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB), along with 86 double plays.
Kremer has pitched 707 innings in his career, amassing 616 strikeouts. With a career record of 42-44, he carries a FIP of 4.31, having faced 2,989 batters in Major League Baseball (MLB). His current ERA is 4.38 (344 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.295 and has allowed 683 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings), walking 233 batters.
The San Diego Padres have launched 143 home runs and recorded 524 runs batted in. They have accumulated 186 doubles, drawn 439 walks, and scored a total of 543 runs. The team holds an on-base percentage of .315 and a batting average of .238. The Padres achieve a slugging percentage of .389 and average about 4.24 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have notched 1,038 strikeouts (21st in MLB) and 1,001 hits this season.
San Diego’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.307 and a team FIP of 4.17. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30, striking out 1,036 batters against 442 walks. In terms of total hits allowed, they rank 15th in the league, having surrendered 1,035 hits. They have permitted 140 home runs and allow 4.30 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB), giving up 540 runs this season with a team ERA of 4.05 (508 earned runs).
The Padres’ bullpen has an inherited runners scored percentage of 31.7% out of 205 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have appeared in 140 high-leverage situations and 121 times with runners on base. In 135 total save opportunities, the Padres have secured 79 holds but have also experienced 15 blown saves. They rank 7th in baseball with a save percentage of 71.7%, utilizing 428 different bullpen pitchers this season.
San Diego has executed 103 double plays and showcases a solid fielding percentage of .988 (5th in baseball). The team has registered 1,124 assists, committed 55 errors, and completed 3,390 putouts this year. Over 10,170 innings played, they have achieved a defensive efficiency rating of 70.3% (12th in professional baseball).
Mize, with a career record of 24-26, has an earned run average of 4.25 and allows 9.2 hits per nine innings. He maintains a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.95, having faced 1,936 opposing hitters in his professional career. Mize has given up a total of 215 earned runs, sporting a WHIP of 1.296 along with a FIP of 4.2. In his career, he has surrendered 463 hits, while accumulating 375 strikeouts over 455 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take Minnesota (+120)
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