Jesus Aguilar vs Luis Gurule: A Closer Look
Event: UFC Noche 3
Venue: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio
Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
In an exciting matchup, Jesus Aguilar is set to battle Luis Gurule at UFC Noche 3 on Saturday, September 13, 2025. As the fight approaches, Aguilar enters the bout with odds of +180, while Gurule stands at -210.
Jesus Aguilar boasts a professional MMA record of 11-3-0. At 29 years of age, he weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5’4″ tall, with a reach of 62 inches. On the other hand, Luis “Grim” Gurule, at 31 years old, also competes at 125 lbs and measures in at 5’5″, holding a wingspan of 64 inches with a current record of 10-1-0. In terms of striking, Aguilar averages 1.73 significant strikes landed per minute, whereas Gurule significantly outpaces him with 5.34 landed strikes per minute. Significant strike accuracy sees Aguilar connecting at 45%, while Gurule has a slightly higher rate of 48%. In defense, Aguilar absorbs 1.10 significant strikes per minute, contrasting with Gurule’s 3.74 absorbed strikes. Aguilar successfully defends against 59% of incoming significant strikes, while Gurule counters 58% of his opponents’ strikes.
| Event: UFC Noche 3 | Jesus Aguilar | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +180 | -210 |
| Record | 11-3-0 | 10-1-0 |
| Average Fight Duration | 8:12 | 10:57 |
| Height | 5’4″ | 5’5″ |
| Weight Class | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 62″ | 64″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 1.73 | 5.34 |
| Striking Accuracy | 45% | 48% |
When it comes to grappling capabilities, Jesus Aguilar demonstrates his prowess by achieving an average of 1.83 takedowns per 15 minutes, completing 35% of his takedown attempts and successfully defending against 40% of his opponents’ takedowns. In contrast, Gurule successfully implements takedowns on just 16% of his attempts, while defending against 50% of those aimed at him. In the submission game, Aguilar holds the advantage attempting 1.8 submissions per 15 minutes, whereas Gurule attempts only 0.4 submissions in the same timeframe.
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In his last fight, Jesus Aguilar faced off against Rafael Estevam, where he suffered a defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Estevam successfully landed 60 out of 96 total strikes, while Aguilar managed 41 out of 95 strikes. Of those, Estevam connected 11 out of 30 significant strikes, achieving a striking accuracy of 36%, and landed 6 out of 20 aimed at the head. Aguilar achieved a 40% accuracy by landing 35 out of 87 attempts, including 26 out of 75 aimed at the head, with significant strikes primarily taking place at distance for both fighters.
On the other hand, Luis Gurule faced Ode Osbourne in his recent match and unfortunately lost by knockout in round 2. Osbourne had an impressive striking accuracy of 77% at distance, while Gurule managed to hit a rate of 91% with his own significant strikes attempted from distance. Gurule connected on 12 of 34 significant strikes, with only 3 of those aimed at the head, whereas Osbourne landed 18 of 43 total strikes, getting 11 of 33 directed at the head.
Key Fights to Watch
Eyes will also be on the exciting matchup between Zachary Reese and Sedriques Dumas. With a record of 9-2-0, Reese stands at 6’4″ and weighs 185 lbs, while Dumas, standing at 6’2″ and also weighing 185 lbs, holds a record of 10-3-0. In grappling statistics, Reese averages 2.88 takedowns per 3 rounds, significantly higher than Dumas’ average of 1.25 takedowns. In terms of striking, Reese connects on 4.28 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 54%, while Dumas hits at a 45% rate and lands 2.10 strikes per minute.
A highly anticipated bout is also set between Amanda Lemos and Tatiana Suarez. Suarez, looking to extend her record of 11-1-0, weighs 115 lbs and stands 5’5″. The southpaw fighter boasts a reach of 66 inches. Lemos, similarly weighing in at 115 lbs, stands 5’4″ and carries a record of 15-4-1. When it comes to wrestling statistics, Suarez stops 80% of takedowns against her while successfully executing 47% of her own. In contrast, Lemos converts 62% of her takedown attempts and defends 59% of those attempted against her. Striking-wise, Suarez absorbs 1.58 strikes per minute while delivering 3.22, while Lemos bears 3.46 strikes per minute and lands 2.89.
What are your thoughts on who will triumph in tonight’s UFC showdown?
Tony Sink’s Recommendation: Back Luis Gurule (-210)
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