Qileng Aori vs Kai Asakura Picks: 08/29/2026 Predictions and UFC Shanghai Odds

Home » Qileng Aori vs Kai Asakura Picks: 08/29/2026 Predictions and UFC Shanghai Odds

  • Qileng Aori vs. Kai Asakura: The Showdown
  • UFC Shanghai: An Exciting Event
  • Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Shanghai
  • Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026

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Prepare for an electrifying matchup as Qileng Aori faces off against Kai Asakura at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Aori enters the bout as an underdog with odds of +350, while Asakura is favored at -450.

Known as “The Mongolian Murderer,” Qileng Aori aims to enhance his professional record of 26 wins and 13 losses (with 1 no contest). At 33 years old, he weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5’7″ tall, boasting a reach of 69 inches. His opponent, the 32-year-old Kai Asakura, also weighs 135 lbs, stands at 5’8″ tall, and holds a record of 22 wins and 6 losses. Both fighters have similar reach at 69 inches. In terms of striking output, Aori averages 4.40 significant strikes landed per minute, compared to Asakura’s 2.53. Aori has a striking accuracy of 49%, while Asakura lands 34% of his attempted significant strikes. Defensively, Aori absorbs 5.66 significant strikes per minute, with a strike defense rate of 46%. Conversely, Asakura absorbs 3.34 significant strikes per minute and defends against 52% of strikes.

UFC Picks, Qileng Aori Predictions, Best Bet Odds
UFC Shanghai Qileng Aori Kai Asakura
Opening Odds +350 -450
Record 26-13-0 (1 NC) 22-6-0
Average Fight Time 9:29 6:11
Height 5’7″ 5’8″
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 69″ 69″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.40 2.53
Striking Accuracy 49% 34%

In terms of grappling, Qileng Aori demonstrates stronger wrestling skills, achieving a takedown rate of 1.11 per three rounds with a success rate of 46%. He also defends against 59% of opponent takedowns. In contrast, Kai Asakura successfully executes only 15% of his takedown attempts and defends 50% of the takedowns against him. When considering submission attempts, Aori averages 0.2 submissions per three rounds, while Asakura increases this slightly with 0.7 submissions per three rounds.

In his previous fight, Qileng Aori faced Cody Haddon, suffering a defeat due to a knee to the body in round 2. Haddon successfully landed 84 out of 105 total strikes attempted in that bout. Aori managed to land 12 out of 17 total strikes. Notably, Haddon’s significant strikes were highly accurate, landing 57 out of 70 for an 81% accuracy rate, with 46 head strikes registered. Aori’s significant strike accuracy stood at 54%, landing 6 out of 11, with 4 out of 9 targeted at the head. Both fighters recorded 14% of their significant strikes at a distance.

In Kai Asakura’s latest Octagon appearance, he secured a win against Cameron Smotherman with a punch to the head in round 1. Smotherman hit all his significant strikes from distance, while Asakura had an impressive accuracy rate of 88% for his distance strikes. Asakura landed 42% of his significant strikes, converting 9 out of 21 attempts and directed 6 of these toward the head. Smotherman managed only 3 of 7 significant strikes. In total strikes, Asakura outperformed, landing 9 out of 21 in comparison to Smotherman’s 3 of 7.

Additional Fights to Watch

Keep an eye on Namsrai Batbayar as he goes head-to-head with Andre Lima. Batbayar seeks to extend his record to 10-1-0. The 25-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands 5’4″, with a reach of 68 inches. Meanwhile, Lima, at 27 years old, stands 5’7″ and also weighs 125 lbs, holding a record of 11-1-0. In grappling, Batbayar brings down opponents 2.85 times every 15 minutes, while Lima logs 1.11 takedowns. Striking numbers show Batbayar landing 4.44 strikes per minute with a 45% accuracy, while Lima connects with 56% of his attempted strikes at 3.94 per minute.

Another exciting matchup features Kevin Borjas squaring off against Rei Tsuruya. Tsuruya aims to bolster his record to 11-1-0 at 24 years old, weighing in at 125 lbs and standing 5’6″ with a 68-inch reach. Borjas, aged 28, stands 5’5″ and matches Tsuruya’s weight. Borjas holds a 11-5-0 record. When grappling, Tsuruya successfully defends against 50% of takedown attempts, completing 37% of his takedowns, whereas Borjas manages only 15% on offense but excels defensively at 72%. Tsuruya takes in 1.91 strikes per minute while landing 2.40, while Borjas absorbs 5.27 strikes per minute, striking back with 3.87 per minute.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Back Kai Asakura (-450)

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Pick: Kai Asakura (-450)
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