- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets
- Scheduled Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-128) New York (+106)
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The New York Mets (59-72) are set to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (81-50) at Citi Field this Tuesday. The moneyline for this matchup is set at -128 for the Brewers while the Mets come in at +106. The over/under for the game is pegged at 8.5. Expected starting pitchers are Kyle Harrison and Zac Thornton.
The Brewers have compiled a total of 229 doubles and 120 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .396, they have struck out 1,095 times while drawing 543 walks. As a result, the Milwaukee Brewers are averaging 5.0 runs per game, ranking them 4th in Major League Baseball. They have achieved 611 RBIs and recorded 1,123 hits this season, maintaining a team batting average of .254 and scoring 650 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .337.
The Brewers maintain a K/BB ratio of 3.06, and their pitching staff boasts a collective WHIP of 1.17. They have permitted 130 home runs and 489 total runs, ranking 2nd in MLB. Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 951 hits, averaging 7.3 hits every 9 innings, recording 445 earned runs. With an impressive earned run average (ERA) of 3.42 for the season, Wisconsin ranks 2nd in MLB, and their staff has registered 1,269 strikeouts. They’ve issued 415 walks, and their fielding independent pitching (FIP) stands at 3.56 for the year.
The Brewers have used 398 relievers this season. The relief unit has inherited 142 runners, with 41.5% scoring. They’ve secured 67 holds (18th in the league). Brewers’ relievers have entered games with opponents on base 101 times and have faced 128 high-leverage situations, achieving 43 saves this year, although failing to convert on 18 out of their 61 save attempts. Their save rate is 70.5%, having been in 129 save situations during the season.
This season, the Brewers converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs over 10,542 innings, ranking them 8th in the majors. Milwaukee recorded 3,514 putouts, 1,020 assists, and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .987, placing them 8th in the league, and they have executed 99 double plays.
Harrison has pitched for 292 innings throughout his career and racked up 313 strikeouts so far. His ERA is 3.88 (with 126 earned runs allowed) and a career WHIP of 1.249. He has allowed 272 hits (averaging 8.4 hits per nine innings) while issuing 93 walks. With a career record of 19-12, Harrison’s FIP is 3.82 after facing 1,237 batters in Major League Baseball.
The Mets have hit 161 home runs this season and tallied 523 RBIs. They’ve recorded 165 doubles, drawn 420 walks, and scored 546 runs. This season, the New York Mets hold an OBP of .307 and a team batting average of .236. They maintain a team slugging percentage of .391 and score an average of 4.17 runs per game (23rd in baseball). They have struck out 1,112 times, ranking 12th in the league, along with registering 1,040 hits.
The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.300 and a FIP of 4.05. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.10 (1,183 strikeouts vs. 469 walks). As a pitching staff, they rank 12th in total hits allowed (1,046) and have given up 145 home runs, allowing 4.53 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The team has given up 586 runs, with a total ERA of 4.07 (527 earned runs).
The New York bullpen has an inherited scoring percentage of 27.5% out of 171 total inherited runners. Relief pitchers have taken the mound 140 times in high-leverage situations, with 122 appearances involving base runners. From 97 save opportunities, the Mets have achieved 55 holds and recorded 14 blown saves. They are 15th in MLB for save percentage at 64.1%, dispatching 401 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the New York Mets have recorded 80 double plays and a .982 fielding rate (25th in MLB). They have logged 1,032 assists, made 81 errors, and achieved 3,497 putouts this season. After 10,491 innings on the field, they have a defensive efficiency rate of 69.6% (19th in MLB).
In his MLB career, Thornton has allowed 44 hits, securing 36 strikeouts over 50 innings pitched. With a career record of 3-4, his earned run average is 3.05, yielding 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has permitted 17 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.158 and a FIP of 3.0. Additionally, his K/BB ratio is 2.57, having faced 200 batters throughout his professional career.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Choose New York (+106)
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