- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Boston (-152) Miami (+126)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
The Miami Marlins (67-64) will take on the Boston Red Sox (71-59) at LoanDepot Park this Tuesday. Current betting lines favor the Red Sox at -152, while the Marlins are positioned at +126. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs, featuring starting pitchers Payton Tolle and Tyler Phillips.
The Boston Red Sox boast a slugging percentage of .407 and have logged 1,051 strikeouts, while drawing walks on 415 occasions. They have accumulated 564 RBIs and 1,094 hits this season, with a batting average of .251. As a team, they have hit 238 doubles and belted 133 home runs, resulting in 589 runs scored. Their team on-base percentage is .324, and they average 4.5 runs per game, placing them 13th in the league.
The Red Sox’s K/BB ratio stands at 3.01, with the pitching staff holding a WHIP of 1.22. The team has allowed 126 home runs and 490 total runs, ranking 3rd in Major League Baseball. Boston has given up 1,041 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per 9 innings) and 451 earned runs, with their team ERA sitting at 3.51, also 3rd in the league. The pitching staff has struck out 1,112 batters, with 369 walks issued, and their team’s FIP is 3.67.
This season, Red Sox pitchers have faced runners on base 100 times and have appeared in 115 high-leverage scenarios. The bullpen has earned 80 holds (8th in MLB) and has a save percentage of 76.6%, converting 36 saves from 47 opportunities. They have inherited 135 runners this year, with 31.1% of those runners scoring. Over the season, the Red Sox have utilized 399 pitchers.
Fielding-wise, the Red Sox have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs, ranking 16th in the MLB. They have tallied 3,469 putouts, 1,132 assists, and 65 errors with a fielding percentage of .986, placing them 13th in the league while executing 96 double plays.
Starting pitcher Tolle holds an 8-7 career record with a FIP of 3.39 after facing 557 batters in the majors. He has allowed 115 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and issued 41 walks, maintaining a 3.44 ERA (52 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.146. Tolle has pitched 136 innings, recording 153 strikeouts in his professional career.
The Miami Marlins, meanwhile, have achieved a team on-base percentage of .326 and a batting average of .249 this season. They have struck out 1,067 times (18th in MLB) and produced 1,083 hits, including 133 home runs and 550 RBIs. Their slugging percentage stands at .402, and they average 4.37 runs per game (19th in MLB), with 206 doubles and 446 walks.
On the pitching front, the Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.247 and a FIP of 3.98 this season. Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.40, with 1,075 strikeouts against 435 walks, ranking them 4th in MLB for total hits allowed (997). Miami has allowed 129 home runs and gives up 4.33 runs per 9 innings (10th overall). The pitching staff has yielded a total of 552 runs with a season ERA of 3.90 (498 earned runs).
The Marlins rank 16th in save percentage at 63.8%, having deployed 421 relief pitchers this year. The bullpen has competed in 120 high-leverage situations and 109 instances with runners on base. Out of 123 save opportunities, Miami has secured 74 holds and 17 blown saves while achieving 30 saves from 47 chances, with an inherited scoring rate of 23.0% on 161 inherited runners.
Defensively, the Miami Marlins have executed 95 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in Major League Baseball). They’ve logged 1,083 assists, 84 errors, and 3,444 putouts across 10,332 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (9th in MLB).
In his career, Phillips has given up 206 hits and recorded 159 strikeouts over 214 innings pitched. With a career record of 9-8, Phillips maintains a 3.91 ERA and allows 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 93 earned runs and holds a WHIP of 1.302, with a FIP of 3.80. His K/BB ratio sits at 2.18 as he has faced 907 hitters throughout his career.
Who will win this thrilling MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take Miami (+126)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
