Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Analysis, 8/26/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners Analysis, 8/26/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners
  • Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026
  • Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
  • TV: MLB.TV
  • Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-150) Seattle (+125)

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T-Mobile Park will host the matchup between the Seattle Mariners (63-69) and the Philadelphia Phillies (73-59) on Wednesday. The betting odds favor the Phillies at -150 while the Mariners are listed at +125. The total runs projected for the game is set at 8. Jesus Luzardo and Bryan Woo are slated to be the starting pitchers for this contest.

MLB predictions and picks for Philadelphia Phillies

This season, the Phillies have recorded 192 doubles and launched 159 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .403, they have struck out 1,103 times and drawn 422 walks. Philadelphia scores an average of 4.6 runs per game, ranking them 11th in the league. They have amassed 582 RBIs along with 1,073 hits, contributing to a batting average of .243. In total, they have scored 601 runs and maintain an on-base percentage (OBP) of .313.

The Phillies’ pitching staff holds an earned run average (ERA) of 4.15, ranking 17th in the league, while striking out 1,302 batters. They have allowed 159 home runs and 581 runs, placing them 15th in MLB. The pitchers have walked 400 batters, with a FIP of 3.80 this season. So far, the Phillies have given up 1,130 base hits (averaging 8.7 per 9 innings) and 540 earned runs, and they have a K/BB ratio of 3.26 alongside a collective WHIP of 1.31.

This season, 441 relief pitchers have been utilized by the Phillies, with 136 inherited runners; 36% of these runners have scored. The relief squad has notched 57 holds, ranking 25th in MLB. Philadelphia’s relief pitchers have entered 102 times with runners on base and have faced 125 high-leverage situations. So far, they have secured 35 saves out of 52 opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 67.3% across 111 save situations.

The Phillies convert 67.3% of balls in play into outs over their 10,545 innings, ranking them 29th in MLB. This season, they have recorded 3,515 putouts, 1,083 assists, and 67 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in professional baseball) along with a total of 80 double plays.

Jesus Luzardo has pitched 851 innings in his career, striking out 969 batters. With a win-loss record of 52-46, his FIP stands at 3.98 against 3,549 batters faced in the majors. Luzardo’s ERA is 4.04 with 382 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.228. He has given up 761 hits (8.0 per nine innings) and has 284 walks to his name.

The Mariners, on the other hand, have a slugging percentage of .378, averaging 3.95 runs per game (29th in the league). They have achieved 158 doubles, earned 442 walks, and tallied 522 runs. Seattle’s season total includes 154 home runs and 503 RBIs. With 1,140 strikeouts (7th in MLB) and 1,005 hits, the Mariners are operating at an OBP of .310 and a batting average of .230.

As a unit, the Mariners maintain a WHIP of 1.238 and a FIP of 3.91 this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.70, with 1,122 strikeouts against 342 walks. They have surrendered a total of 1,101 hits, ranking 20th in MLB, and allowed 154 home runs while giving up 4.45 runs per nine innings (14th in the league). Seattle’s pitching staff has yielded 576 runs with an ERA of 4.11 (532 earned runs).

This season, the Mariners have been involved in 120 save opportunities, achieving 69 holds and recording 21 blown saves. Seattle has called their relievers onto the field in 50 save situations, securing 29 saves. Their relievers carry an inherited score rate of 30.8% from 133 runners. The bullpen has been active in high-leverage situations 134 times and has faced runners on base 95 times. Seattle ranks 23rd in the league with a save percentage of 58.0%, sending 401 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year.

In terms of defense, the Mariners have turned 110 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in professional baseball). They also have recorded 1,079 assists, committed 69 errors, and achieved 3,498 putouts this season. Over 10,494 innings played, their defensive efficiency stands at 69.1% (24th in professional baseball).

As for Bryan Woo, he holds a career win-loss record of 37-23, an ERA of 3.44, and allows 7.2 hits per nine innings. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.85, he has faced 2,137 batters to date. Woo has conceded 204 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.009 and a FIP of 3.4. Throughout his career, he has allowed 429 hits while racking up 529 strikeouts in 533 innings pitched.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Pick: Take Seattle (+125)

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Pick: Seattle Mariners (+125)
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