- Matchup: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
- Scheduled Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES Network
- Betting Odds: Houston (+106) | New York (-128)
On Thursday, the New York Yankees (74-57) will face off against the Houston Astros (66-66) at Yankee Stadium. The betting odds favor the Astros at +106, while the Yankees start at -128. The game’s over/under is pegged at 8 runs, with Hayden Wesneski and Gerrit Cole taking the mound as the starting pitchers.
This season, the Astros have compiled 194 doubles and 176 home runs. Houston is boasting a slugging percentage of .412 and has recorded 1,081 strikeouts against 440 walks. They are averaging 4.6 runs per game, ranking 10th in the league with a total of 576 RBIs and 1,080 hits. The team batting average stands at .243, with a total of 605 runs and an on-base percentage of .318.
The Astros’ pitching staff holds a collective ERA of 4.65 (25th in MLB), striking out 1,152 batters so far. They have allowed 175 home runs and 647 runs total, landing at 25th in the league. With 545 walks given up, their FIP sits at 4.66. Houston has recorded 1,057 hits against them, averaging 8.1 per 9 innings, and has given up 606 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.11, and the team’s WHIP is 1.37.
This season, the Astros have used 429 relief pitchers, inheriting 177 runners, with 27.1% scoring. The bullpen has managed 64 holds (22nd in MLB) and made 120 appearances with runners on base, facing high leverage situations 132 times. They have achieved 40 saves out of 49 chances, with an 81.6% save rate in 115 save scenarios.
Defensively, the Astros convert 70.6% of balls in play into outs over 10,551 innings, placing 11th in MLB. To date, Houston’s defense has tallied 3,517 putouts, 975 assists, and 59 errors, achieving a .987 fielding percentage and turning 105 double plays.
Wesneski has thrown 249 innings in his MLB career, accumulating 234 strikeouts with a career record of 13-17. His FIP stands at 3.98, having faced 1,038 batters. He holds an ERA of 4.04 (112 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.168, allowing 215 hits (averaging 7.8 hits per 9 innings) while issuing 76 walks.
The New York Yankees, on the other hand, have hit 181 home runs with 559 RBIs, alongside 194 doubles. They have taken a total of 478 walks, scoring 586 runs with a team on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .230 this season. Their slugging percentage is .408, averaging 4.47 runs per game (17th in MLB), while recording 1,206 strikeouts (6th in the league) and 995 hits.
This season, the Yankees’ pitching lineup has allowed 488 runs, maintaining a stellar 3.24 team ERA (421 earned runs). They have surrendered 130 home runs and concede only 3.75 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Yankees boast a WHIP of 1.180, along with a FIP of 3.67, achieving a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,173 strikeouts against 399 walks), ranking 3rd in total hits allowed with 982.
With a save percentage of 60.9%, the Yankees have used 439 relief pitchers. Their bullpen has seen action in high leverage situations 154 times and 156 times with runners on base. The Yankees have registered 137 save opportunities, achieving 72 holds with 25 blown saves. In 64 save chances, the Yankees have secured 39 saves, with a 20.9% inherited runners scoring percentage from 225 inherited situations.
Defensively, the Yankees have turned 101 double plays and have a .985 fielding percentage (19th in MLB). They have 1,146 assists, made 73 errors, and collected 3,512 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency across 10,536 innings stands at 71.0% (7th in MLB).
In his career, Cole has given up 1,706 hits while amassing 2,351 strikeouts over 2,046 innings pitched. He has allowed 722 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.088 and a FIP of 3.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.52 has seen him face 8,237 batters. With a career record of 160-86, Cole maintains a 3.18 ERA, yielding 7.5 hits per nine innings.
Who emerges victorious in tonight’s MLB contest, covering the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Opt for Houston (+106)
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