- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: San Diego (-128) Tampa Bay (+106)
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The San Diego Padres (72-62) head to Tropicana Field this Friday to face the Tampa Bay Rays (79-54). The moneyline for this matchup places the Padres at -128 and the Rays at +106. The over/under is set at 8.5. Anticipated starting pitchers include Casey Mize and Shane McClanahan.
This season, the Padres have recorded 196 doubles and launched 148 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .388, they have struck out 1,084 times and drawn 466 walks. As a team, the Padres are scoring an average of 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 21st in the league. They have amassed 548 RBIs and 1,047 hits, holding a team batting average of .238 and have a total of 569 runs scored with an on-base percentage of .315.
The Padres’ pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.29. They have allowed 146 home runs alongside 552 total runs (ranking 9th in the league). San Diego has issued 1,073 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per 9 innings) and given up 519 earned runs. Their team’s ERA stands at 3.94, placing them 10th in the league, with a total of 1,083 strikeouts and 455 walks issued. Their FIP for the current season is 4.14.
Throughout the season, the Padres have utilized 448 relief pitchers, who have inherited 210 base runners, with a 31.9% earning a run for the opposition. The relief corps has accumulated 83 holds (8th in baseball) and entered 127 times with runners on base, along with 147 high-leverage appearances. The bullpen has secured 40 saves but has failed to convert 15 of 55 save opportunities, achieving a save rate of 72.7% in 141 situations.
This season, San Diego has recorded 3,561 putouts, 1,188 assists, and 55 errors, with a fielding percentage of .989, ranking 5th in the league. They have successfully turned 109 double plays and converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs over 10,683 innings, ranking them 10th overall.
Mize has pitched 458 innings, collecting 375 strikeouts throughout his MLB journey. With an earned run average of 4.30 (219 earned runs), and a WHIP of 1.299, he has allowed 467 hits (approximately 9.2 hits per 9 innings) and issued 128 walks. Mize has a career win-loss record of 24-26 and a FIP of 4.24, having faced 1,949 hitters in Major League Baseball.
The Tampa Bay Rays own a .329 on-base percentage and a .260 batting average this season. They have struck out 930 times (30th in MLB) and amassed 1,159 hits, including 136 home runs and 566 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .402, while they average 4.47 runs per game (16th in MLB). They have hit 188 doubles and drawn 429 walks, totaling 595 runs scored.
As a team, the Rays present a WHIP of 1.148 and a FIP of 4.05. They rank 7th in MLB in the total hits allowed, with 1,031. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has allowed 548 runs this season while posting a team ERA of 3.78 (498 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands impressively at 8.20 (1,086 strikeouts versus 330 walks), while allowing 168 home runs and an average of 4.16 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball).
The Rays rank 2nd in the league in save rate at 76.8%, utilizing 420 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has faced high-pressure situations 128 times and situations with runners on base 107 times, totaling 170 save chances, resulting in 101 holds and 16 blown saves. Tampa Bay’s relief staff has recorded 53 saves out of 69 save opportunities, with a 30.1% inherited score percentage out of 153 inherited runners.
In 10,674 innings, the Rays have a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (3rd in MLB). They have turned 87 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in the sport), alongside 1,048 assists, 79 errors, and 3,558 putouts this season.
In his career, McClanahan has allowed 415 hits while striking out 555 over 511 innings pitched. He has permitted 173 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.109 and a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.65, facing 2,070 batters to date. McClanahan boasts a career win-loss record of 42-22 with a stellar earned run average of 3.05 and has allowed only 7.3 hits per 9 innings.
Who do you predict will win tonight’s MLB game, covering either the spread or the moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Tampa Bay (+106)
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