Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Projection, 8/28/2026 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Projection, 8/28/2026 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds
  • Matchup: Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
  • Scheduled Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
  • Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
  • Broadcast: Twins.TV
  • Betting Odds: Chicago (-132) Minnesota (+110)

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This Friday, August 28, the Minnesota Twins (64-70) will face off against the Chicago White Sox (70-63) at Target Field. The moneyline is set with Chicago at -132 while Minnesota at +110. The over/under for this match is pegged at 8.5 runs. Starting pitchers for the game include Luis Castillo for Chicago and Dean Kremer for Minnesota.

MLB Predictions and Odds for Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins

The Chicago White Sox have tallied 211 doubles and 178 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage resting at .411, they have struck out 1,214 times and earned 470 walks. Averaging 4.8 runs per game, the White Sox rank 6th in MLB batting. They have recorded 613 RBIs and amassed a total of 1,070 hits this year, showcasing a batting average of .239. Their on-base percentage stands at .320 with 641 total runs scored.

Chicago’s pitching staff maintains a K/BB ratio of 2.30 with a combined WHIP of 1.31. They have conceded 152 home runs and 597 runs (17th overall). The White Sox have given up 1,074 base hits (averaging 8.1 per 9 innings) along with 549 earned runs, establishing a team ERA of 4.16 (16th in MLB). This season, their pitchers have struck out 1,120 batters and walked 487, holding a collective FIP of 4.29.

Chicago’s pitchers have taken to the mound with runners on base 149 times, garnering 137 high leverage situations throughout the season. Their bullpen has managed to earn 53 holds (27th in the league) and secured saves 57.4% of the time, with 35 saves from 116 save opportunities. With 216 inherited runners, 29.6% of those have scored. A total of 448 relief pitchers have taken the mound during this campaign.

The White Sox recorded 3,564 putouts, 1,093 assists, and 70 errors this season, resulting in a fielding percentage of .985—ranking 17th in MLB—with 88 double plays converted. They’ve turned 70.4% of balls in play into outs across 10,692 innings, placing them 12th in the league.

Castillo, with an even career record of 85-85, has logged a 3.53 FIP and faced off against 5,906 hitters. He’s allowed 1,231 hits (averaging 7.8 hits per 9 innings) along with 458 walks. Furthermore, his ERA is 3.59 (with 569 earned runs allowed), and he holds a WHIP of 1.183 after pitching for 1,428 innings while accumulating 1,512 strikeouts in his career.

The Minnesota Twins have compiled a team slugging percentage of .405 and score 4.59 runs per game (ranking 9th). They’ve hit 219 doubles, drawn 431 walks, and notched 615 runs. The squad has hammered out 155 home runs and driven in 587 runs, while striking out 1,072 times (22nd overall) with 1,108 hits to their name. Their team batting average stands at .245, with an on-base percentage of .319.

The Twins’ pitching staff has surrendered a total of 671 runs this year, registering a team ERA of 4.69 (with 615 earned runs given up). They’ve allowed 154 home runs and concede 5.12 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). With a WHIP of 1.387 and a FIP of 4.28, their overall strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.50 (1,109 strikeouts against 486 walks), ranking 25th in total hits allowed at 1,150.

With a total of 145 save situations, the Twins have achieved 87 holds and experienced 16 blown saves. They’ve utilized relief pitchers in 54 of those opportunities, successfully securing 38 saves. Their inherited runner score percentage is 36.6% out of 186 inherited base runners. The bullpen has appeared 142 times in high-pressure situations and on 129 occasions with runners on. They rank 8th in the league for save percentage at 70.4%, calling 443 relievers to the mound this season.

Compiling their statistics over 10,617 innings, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (25th in the majors). They’ve executed 92 double plays and recorded a .987 fielding percentage (12th in MLB), with 1,021 assists, 62 errors, and 3,539 putouts for the year.

Kremer, sporting a career record of 42-40, has an earned run average of 4.23, allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.60, and he has faced 2,922 batters throughout his MLB journey. He’s permitted 326 earned runs, with a WHIP settling at 1.279, and a FIP of 4.2. Over his professional tenure, Kremer has yielded 657 hits and notched 598 strikeouts in 693 innings pitched.

Who will claim victory in this evening’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Recommendation: Back Chicago (-132)

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Pick: Chicago White Sox (-132)
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