Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury Analysis, 8/29/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips, and Odds

Home » Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury Analysis, 8/29/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips, and Odds

  • Matchup: Toronto Tempo vs Phoenix Mercury
  • Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
  • Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
  • Broadcast: WNBA League Pass

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The Mortgage Matchup Center is set to host an exciting clash between the Phoenix Mercury (13-26) and the Toronto Tempo (11-27) this Saturday.

In their previous game, the Toronto Tempo faced the Seattle Storm and suffered a defeat, concluding with a score of 90-78. Toronto recorded a field goal percentage of 37.1% (26 of 70) and managed to hit 4 out of 26 attempts from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Tempo succeeded in 22 of 28 free throws, achieving a percentage of 78.6%. On the boards, they collected a total of 43 rebounds, including 13 offensive rebounds. The team also dished out 14 assists, forced 10 turnovers, and made 7 steals. Defensively, Toronto allowed Seattle to shoot 44.3% from the field, connecting on 35 of 79 shots. Seattle accumulated 10 assists and 13 steals, while grabbing 37 rebounds (10 offensive, 27 defensive) and blocking 8 shots. The Storm finished the game with a free throw success rate of 77.8%, hitting 14 of their 18 attempts, and managed 6 out of 27 from three-point range.

WNBA betting picks Kahleah Copper predictions best bet odds

Kiki Rice stood out in this matchup, scoring 24 points on 6 of 12 shooting. Playing for 33 minutes, she also grabbed 3 rebounds and handed out 5 assists while finishing with a shooting percentage of 50.0%.

The Toronto Tempo heads into this matchup with a current record of 11-27 for the season. They are shooting 34.9% from three-point land (373 of 1,069) and an impressive 81.0% from the free throw line. Averaging 87.0 points per game (9th in the league), they also maintain a shooting percentage of 44.3% from the field. The Tempo averages 13.8 turnovers per game and commits 21.4 fouls on average. The team manages to secure 31.6 rebounds per game and has tallied 756 assists, ranking them 12th in the WNBA for ball distribution. Defensively, the Tempo forces 12.3 turnovers per game while conceding 19.7 fouls. On the defensive side, they allow opponents a 47.3% shooting percentage (468 of 750) and average 34.5 rebounds surrendered per game. They rank 13th in the league for assists allowed, giving up 847 throughout the season, and allow 34.5% shooting from long range, placing them 15th in the league for points allowed per game at 93.6.

In their last outing, the Phoenix Mercury faced a tough match against the Washington Mystics, ending with a score of 80-73. The Mercury secured 24 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive rebounds, totaling 29 for the game. They turned the ball over 15 times while achieving 10 steals. The Mystics committed 20 personal fouls, allowing the Mercury 18 attempts at the free throw line, converting 14 for a percentage of 77.8%. From three-point territory, Phoenix made 5 of 17 attempts (29.4%). By the end of the game, the Mercury shot 27 out of 66 from the field, finishing with a shooting percentage of 40.9%. The Mercury allowed the Mystics to make 29 out of 61 shots, resulting in a 47.5% shooting performance. They permitted 35 rebounds in total (6 offensive).

Kahleah Copper was a key player for the Mercury, nailing 13 out of 22 shots for a shooting percentage of 59.1% and adding 4 rebounds. She finished the match with 35 points in just 32 minutes on court, along with 1 assist.

The Phoenix Mercury enters this showdown with a record of 13-26 for the season. They average 18.6 personal fouls per game and boast a free throw percentage of 78.5%. Their assist average stands at 19.9 per game (10th in the league), with 13.1 turnovers per game. The Mercury have scored a total of 3,266 points this season (83.7 per game) while averaging 31.5 rebounds. Offensively, they shoot 44.3% from the field, ranking 9th in the league. Defensively, Phoenix ranks 9th in points allowed per game, conceding an average of 87.8. They permit opponents 36.1% shooting from beyond the arc and allow 79.3% success at the free throw line. The Mercury are also giving up 21.5 assists and 34.1 rebounds per game, ranking 11th and 10th in those categories respectively. They successfully force 12.9 turnovers nightly and limit opponents to a shooting percentage of 46.5% (11th in the WNBA).

Who will clinch victory in tonight’s WNBA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Back Phoenix

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Pick: Phoenix Mercury
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