- Matchup: New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (-130) Tampa Bay Rays (+110)
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On Monday, the Tampa Bay Rays (80-54) will welcome the New York Mets (60-75) to Tropicana Field. The betting line sees the Mets favored at -130, while the Rays come in at +110. The total run line is set at 9. The starting pitchers for this game are Robert Stock and Ian Seymour.
The New York Mets are averaging 4.1 runs per game, placing them at 24th in Major League Baseball. They have accumulated a total of 553 runs with a team on-base percentage of .305. The Mets have successfully hit 168 doubles and accumulated 163 home runs this season. Additionally, they have recorded 529 RBIs and 1,068 hits, resulting in a batting average of .235. Their slugging percentage stands at .388, with 1,150 strikeouts and 429 walks throughout the season.
This season, the Mets hold a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.10, ranking 12th in the league, and have struck out 1,213 batters. New York’s pitching staff has allowed 148 home runs and 607 total runs, placing them 17th overall. They’ve issued 485 walks, and their FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) averages 4.05. The Mets have allowed 1,084 hits, resulting in 8.1 hits per nine innings, along with 548 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.50, leading to a collective WHIP (Walks and Hits per Inning Pitched) of 1.31.
The Mets’ bullpen has faced runners multiple times, entering 126 games with runners on base and appearing in 145 high-leverage situations. They have gathered 56 holds this season, ranking 26th in the league. Their save rate is 61.0%, converting 25 out of 100 save opportunities, with 16 missed chances. The bullpen has inherited 177 runners this season, allowing 28.2% of those to score. This season, the Mets have utilized 414 relief pitchers.
With 3,608 putouts, the Mets also have 1,070 assists and 82 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .983, which ranks 25th in MLB. They have successfully completed 83 double plays and have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs over 10,824 innings, ranking 21st in professional baseball.
Robert Stock, holding a career record of 2-7, possesses a FIP of 5.40, facing 448 batters in his professional tenure. He has allowed 108 hits (10.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 57 walks. His career ERA is 5.48 (58 earned runs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.731 spanning 95 innings and recording 98 strikeouts.
The Tampa Bay Rays exhibit a team slugging percentage (SLG) of .403 with an average of 4.51 runs per game (14th overall). They have registered 189 doubles, drawn 431 walks, and scored 604 runs this season. The Rays have also tallied 138 home runs and 574 RBIs, but they have struck out 936 times (30th in the league), with a total of 1,170 hits. Tampa Bay’s on-base percentage (OBP) stands at .329, and their season batting average is .260.
Tampa Bay’s pitching staff includes a team WHIP of 1.145 and a FIP of 4.05. They rank sixth in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,035. Their staff has conceded 552 runs this season, maintaining a team ERA of 3.77 (501 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.20, with a total of 1,091 strikeouts against 333 walks. The Rays have allowed 169 home runs and yield 4.16 runs per nine innings (8th in MLB).
The Rays’ relievers demonstrate a scoring rate of 29.7% for inherited runners out of 155. Their bullpen has entered 128 high-pressure situations, with 108 appearances featuring runners on base. With 172 save opportunities, the Rays have recorded 103 holds and encountered 16 blown saves, ranking second in save rate at 76.8%. They have put 423 relief pitchers on the mound this season.
This season, the Rays have achieved 87 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in MLB). They have also compiled 1,058 assists, committed 80 errors, and secured a total of 3,585 putouts. Over 10,755 innings, the Rays’ defensive efficiency is recorded at 72.0%, placing them 3rd in MLB.
In his career, Ian Seymour has yielded 139 hits and achieved 192 strikeouts over 164 innings pitched. With a 13-8 record in his career, he maintains an ERA of 4.01 and surrenders 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 73 earned runs, showcasing a WHIP of 1.159 and a FIP of 3.9, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.76 against 688 batters faced.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Tampa Bay (+110)
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