Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Memphis Tigers Prediction: College Football Insights, Top Picks & Odds for 9/5/2026

Home » Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Memphis Tigers Prediction: College Football Insights, Top Picks & Odds for 9/5/2026

  • Matchup: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Memphis Tigers
  • Event Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN
  • Broadcast: ESPN+
  • Point Spread: Tigers favored by 10.5
  • Total Points Over-Under: 52

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The Memphis Tigers (8-5 in the previous season) are set to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-6 last season) at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Arkansas State is facing a 10.5-point spread disadvantage. The combined points total is projected at 52.

Last season, the Arkansas State Red Wolves finished with a record of 7-6. In their most recent appearance, they secured a victory against the Missouri State Bears, winning 34-28. The Red Wolves rushed the ball 25 times for a total of 71 yards, averaging 2.8 yards per carry. Overall, they executed 56 plays amassing 359 yards. Defensively, they allowed 25 completions on 35 attempts, yielding 349 passing yards with a completion percentage of 71.4%. Against the run, Arkansas State allowed only 47 yards over 37 carries, averaging 1.3 yards per carry allowed.

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In terms of offensive production, the Arkansas State Red Wolves averaged 25.2 points per game. On the ground, they generated an average of 123.2 rushing yards per game, placing them 108th nationally. Over the last season, they compiled a total of 4,975 yards. The Red Wolves scored 20 touchdowns through the air and added 14 rushing touchdowns. They achieved 289 first downs while receiving 82 penalties totaling 751 yards. They committed 23 turnovers throughout the season.

In terms of pass defense, the Red Wolves conceded 3,184 yards, ranking them 118th in the nation. Across 13 games, they allowed an average of 244.9 passing yards per game with a completion rate of 68.2%. Overall, they surrendered 413.3 total yards per game, positioning them 112th nationally. They allowed 21 passing touchdowns and 23 rushing touchdowns, with opponents averaging 4.4 yards per carry and 168.4 rushing yards per game last season. They totaled 2,189 rushing yards allowed. The Red Wolves’ defensive ranking in Division 1 was 86th, allowing an average of 27.4 points per contest.

The Memphis Tigers closed out their season with an 8-5 record. In their latest game, they clinched a win against the UNLV Rebels with a score of 27-21. Memphis rushed for an impressive 5.7 yards per carry, accumulating 195 yards off 34 carries. Totaling 418 yards over 60 plays, they averaged 7.0 yards per play. Their defense allowed a completion rate of 65.8%, yielding 291 yards on 25 completions out of 38 attempts, while conceding 169 rushing yards on 41 attempts (4.1 yards per carry)

On offense, the Memphis Tigers averaged 411.6 yards per game, ranking them 35th in Division 1. They faced 72 penalties totaling 625 yards, placing them 86th in D-1 for penalties committed. Their rushing attack averaged 183.2 yards, compiling a total of 2,382 rushing yards for the season. The Tigers threw 9 interceptions and committed 3 fumbles, while achieving 296 first downs. Scoring-wise, they averaged 32.5 points per game, securing 25th place in Division 1 scoring. For passing, they amassed 2,969 yards with an average of 228.4 yards per game, ranking 65th nationally.

Defensively, Memphis surrendered a total of 1,703 rushing yards, averaging 131.0 yards per game and allowing 22 rushing touchdowns last season. They also conceded 16 passing touchdowns and allowed 227.2 passing yards per game, ranking them 85th nationally. The Tigers’ total point allowance for the season was 302. On defense, Memphis produced 7 fumbles and 12 interceptions over 852 plays, ranked 74th in college football for defensive plays. They allowed an average of 23.2 points per game, securing the 52nd spot in the national rankings.

Who will emerge as the victor in the upcoming Red Wolves vs. Tigers clash against the spread?

Pick: Bet on the Tigers at -10.5

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Pick: Memphis Tigers at -10.5
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