- Matchup: SMU Mustangs vs. Florida State Seminoles
- Scheduled Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
- Venue: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
- Broadcast: ESPN+
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Seminoles (+3.0)
- Game Total/Over-Under: 52
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The SMU Mustangs (9-4 last season) are set to face off against the Florida State Seminoles (5-7 last year) at Doak Campbell Stadium on Monday, September 7, 2026. According to bookmakers, SMU is starting this game as 3-point favorites. The total points over-under is established at 52.
Last season, the Mustangs concluded with a 9-4 record. In their most recent game, they triumphed over the Arizona Wildcats with a scoreline of 24-19. While on the ground, SMU allowed 176 rushing yards on 36 attempts, translating to 4.9 yards per carry. The defense permitted 28 completions from 43 attempts, with a total of 265 passing yards and a completion percentage of 65.1%. Overall, SMU ran 64 plays to amass 392 yards. On offense, the Mustangs rushed the ball 32 times for 114 yards, averaging 3.6 yards per carry.
For the season, the Mustangs totaled 5,421 offensive yards. They scored 26 touchdowns through the air and 25 on the ground, while also experiencing 20 turnovers. SMU recorded 269 first downs and incurred 91 penalties totaling 920 yards. On the rushing side, they averaged 133.9 yards per game, ranking 95th in the nation, while scoring an average of 32.2 points per game.
Defensively, the Mustangs finished 32nd in FBS, allowing 20.5 points per game. They permitted 3.2 yards per rush and an average of 111.9 rushing yards per game across 13 games, yielding a total of 1,455 yards on the ground. In terms of pass defense, SMU allowed 3,682 yards, ranking 135th nationally, with an average of 283.2 passing yards per game. They conceded a completion percentage of 60.9% and allowed 395.1 yards per game, ranking them 89th in FBS, giving up 26 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns.
The Florida State Seminoles concluded last season with a 5-7 mark. In their final contest, they secured a decisive 34-17 victory against the New Mexico State Aggies. The Seminoles finished the game with a total of 419 yards after running 66 plays (6.3 yards per play). On the ground, they averaged 5.6 yards per carry, totaling 217 yards on 39 attempts. The defense limited their opponent to 47 rushing yards on 23 attempts (2.0 yards per carry), while their secondary allowed a 60.5% completion rate, giving up 272 yards on 26 completions out of 43 attempts.
The Seminoles averaged 472.1 yards per game, landing them 6th in college football. Despite this, Florida State committed 544 penalty yards across 65 infractions, placing them 102nd nationally. They averaged 218.7 rushing yards per game, accumulating 2,624 total rushing yards last season. Florida State recorded 10 interceptions and suffered 10 fumbles while achieving 292 first downs. In terms of scoring, they ranked 22nd in the nation with an average of 33.0 points per game. Passing-wise, they amassed 3,041 yards, averaging 253.4 passing yards per game, positioning them 40th overall.
On the defensive side, Florida State allowed 1,657 rushing yards (138.1 yards per game) along with 12 rushing touchdowns last season. They surrendered 20 touchdowns through the air, averaging 190.8 passing yards per game, ranking them 28th in the nation. Overall, the Seminoles allowed 264 points across the season. They recovered 2 fumbles and recorded 12 interceptions. Their defensive unit participated in 787 plays, ranking 21st in FBS, while conceding an average of 22.0 points per game, which placed them 43rd in Division 1.
Who will cover the spread in tonight’s Mustangs/Seminoles matchup?
Expert Pick: Bet on the Seminoles +3.0
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