Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola Analysis, 09/05/2026 Projections UFC Paris Odds

Home » Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola Analysis, 09/05/2026 Projections UFC Paris Odds

  • Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola
  • UFC Paris
  • Accor Arena, Paris, France
  • Saturday, September 5, 2026

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In an exciting matchup, Fares Ziam will face off against Axel Sola at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Betting odds show Ziam at -150, while Sola is listed at +130.

Fares “The Smile Killer” Ziam seeks to improve his record of 18 wins and 5 losses, standing at 6’1″ and weighing 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a remarkable wingspan of 75 inches. In contrast, Axel Sola, a southpaw, is 6’0″ tall and also weighs in at 155 lbs, holding a record of 12 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw. Sola has a wingspan of 74 inches. When it comes to significant strikes, Ziam lands 2.68 per minute, whereas Sola averages 4.50 significant strikes landed each minute. Ziam boasts a striking accuracy of 52%, while Sola is slightly behind at 50%. Defensively, “The Smile Killer” absorbs 1.58 significant strikes per minute, while Sola allows 4.53. Ziam successfully defends against 63% of significant strikes thrown his way, while Sola defends against 61% of incoming shots.

UFC Picks: Fares Ziam Predictions and Best Betting Odds
UFC Paris Fares Ziam Axel Sola
Opening Odds -150 +130
Record 18-5-0 12-1-1
Average Fight Time 13:12 10:35
Height 6′ 1″ 6′ 0″
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 75″ 74″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.68 4.50
Striking Accuracy 52% 50%

When it comes to grappling techniques, Fares Ziam isn’t as proficient, securing takedowns at a rate of 1.86 per 15 minutes, with a takedown completion rate of 42%. He successfully defends against 70% of opponent’s takedown attempts. Axel Sola, on the other hand, achieves takedowns at a 36% success rate and stops 66% of the takedowns attempted against him. In terms of submission attempts, Ziam goes for a submission 0.5 times every 15 minutes, while Sola averages 0.7 submissions per three rounds.

In his recent outing, Fares Ziam faced Tom Nolan, suffering a unanimous decision loss in the third round. Nolan effectively landed 65 of his 116 total strikes, while Ziam scored 48 out of 70 total strikes. Specifically, Nolan made 31 successful connections out of 66 significant strikes, achieving a 46% accuracy. He landed 13 of 38 significant strikes to the head. Ziam, on the other side, managed to land 50% of his significant strikes, totaling 16 of 32, with 11 out of 26 directed at the head. Notably, 41% of Nolan’s significant strikes and 75% of Ziam’s strikes were recorded at a distance.

In Axel Sola’s latest clash, he competed against Ismael Bonfim, winning by d’arce choke in the first round. Bonfim managed a perfect 100% connection rate for significant strikes attempted at distance, while Sola connected on just 6% of his significant strikes at range. Sola was efficient, landing 75% of his strikes — connecting on 33 of 44 attempts, including 31 out of 42 to the head. For Bonfim, he only managed 1 of 3 attempts in significant strikes, landing 0 of 1 aimed at the head. In overall total strikes, Bonfim’s efficiency was recorded at 1 of 3, while Sola connected on 77 of his 96 total strikes.

Notable Fights to Watch on the Card

One exciting matchup is between Michael Page and Nursulton Ruziboev. Page aims to secure another win, bringing his career record to 25-3-0. The veteran fighter stands 6’3″ and weighs 185 lbs, with a reach of 79 inches. Ruziboev stands at 6’5″ and is also weighing 185 lbs, bringing a record of 37-9-2 (with 2 no contests). In grappling statistics, Page averages a mere 0.19 takedowns per three rounds, while Ruziboev successfully lands 1.36 takedowns per 15 minutes. As for striking rates, Page connects on an average of 2.28 strikes per minute, achieving a striking accuracy of 58%. Ruziboev, conversely, lands an average of 2.38 strikes per minute, with a striking accuracy of 46%.

Another fight to keep on your radar features Punahele Soriano against Daniil Donchenko. Donchenko looks to enhance his record to 15-2-0. At 25 years of age, he stands 5’11” and weighs 170 lbs, boasting an arm span of 71 inches. Soriano, at the same height and weight, will aim to improve his record of 13-4-0. The southpaw fighter is 33 years old and has a reach of 72 inches. In terms of wrestling, Donchenko successfully defends 75% of takedown attempts against him, while he completes takedowns on 33% of his attempts. Soriano converts 51% of his takedown attempts and stops 48% of those launched by his opponents. In the striking department, Donchenko absorbs 2.80 strikes per minute while dealing out 8.07, while Soriano receives 3.31 strikes per minute but connects on 4.42 per minute.

Who will prevail in tonight’s UFC clash against the spread?

Prediction: Opt for Fares Ziam (-150)

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Pick: Fares Ziam (-150)
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