Losene Keita vs. Muhammad Naimov Betting Insights, 09/05/2026 UFC Paris Odds and Predictions

• Losene Keita vs Muhammad Naimov
• UFC Paris Event
• Venue: Accor Arena, Paris, France
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026

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Losene Keita is set to battle Muhammad Naimov in an exciting match at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Currently, the betting odds show Keita at -350 and Naimov at +280.

Losene “Black Panther” Keita seeks to enhance his impressive record of 16 wins and 2 losses. At 28 years old, he weighs in at 145 pounds and stands at 5′ 7″ tall, boasting a reach of 72 inches. In contrast, Muhammad “Hillman” Naimov, aged 32, stands 5′ 9″ and also weighs 145 pounds, with a reach of 70 inches, bringing his professional record to 13 wins and 4 losses. In striking performance, Keita averages 3.47 significant strikes landed per minute, while Naimov connects at a rate of 2.51 significant strikes per minute. Keita achieves a striking accuracy of 43%, compared to Naimov’s 40%. Defensively, “Black Panther” allows 4.47 significant strikes against him per minute, while “Hillman” absorbs 3.35. Furthermore, Keita defends 62% of incoming significant strikes, whereas Naimov stops 44% of them.

In grappling statistics, Losene Keita executes takedowns 0.80 times per 15 minutes, with a success rate of 15% while defending 85% of takedown attempts against him. Conversely, Naimov successfully completes 30% of his takedowns and defends against 68% of the attempts aimed at him. Keita excels in submissions, attempting 0.8 submissions every 3 rounds, while Naimov attempts 0.2 submissions over the same duration.

In his last outing, Losene Keita faced Nathaniel Wood, ultimately losing by split decision in the third round. Wood successfully connected with 67 out of 178 total strikes, while Keita landed 52 of 119 total strikes. Focusing on significant strikes, Wood managed 37% accuracy with 32 out of 128 aimed at the head. Keita, on the other hand, achieved a 43% accuracy, landing 52 out of 119 and 36 of 101 aimed at the head—all strikes were delivered from a distance.

In his recent performance, Muhammad Naimov clashed with Mairon Santos, suffering a defeat via knockout in the third round. Santos showcased superior efficiency, landing 70% of his significant strikes at a distance, while Naimov achieved a 37% rate with 18 of 48 strikes. Santos outpaced Naimov, connecting 27 of 45 significant strikes, including 11 aimed at the head. When looking at total strikes, Santos landed 43 of 61, while Naimov connected on 35 of 69 attempts.

Notable Fights to Watch

Don’t miss the matchup between Mario Pinto and Ryan Spann. Pinto approaches the octagon with a perfect 12-0-0 record. At 28 years old, he weighs 265 pounds and stands 6′ 5″ tall, with a reach of 79 inches. Spann, also 6′ 5″ and weighing 264 pounds, aims to improve his record of 24-11-0 at the age of 35. Pinto averages 2.38 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Spann lands 1.21 takedowns in the same timeframe. In striking, Pinto lands 2.85 strikes per minute with an impressive 69% accuracy, while Spann strikes at a 39% rate, averaging 3.11 per minute.

Another exciting fight features Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell. Campbell enters with an 8-1-0 record, weighing 145 pounds and standing 5′ 9″ tall, with a reach of 72 inches. Peek, at 31 years old, matches Campbell’s weight and height and aims to boost his record of 9-3-0 (1 NC). In grappling, Kurtis Campbell defends 50% of takedowns against him and successfully completes takedowns on 40% of his attempts, while Peek achieves 50% on his takedown attempts and defends 52%. Striking statistics show Campbell absorbing 2.63 strikes/min while delivering 3.50, whereas Peek absorbs 3.88 strikes/min while connecting on 4.39.

Who will emerge victorious in this thrilling UFC matchup?

Recommended Pick: Back Losene Keita (-350)