- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs
- Date of Game: Thursday, September 3, 2026
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: Marquee Network
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+106) Chicago (-128)
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This Thursday, Wrigley Field will host an exciting showdown between the Chicago Cubs (78-61) and the Milwaukee Brewers (86-53). The betting odds place the Brewers at +106 and the Cubs at -128, with an over/under set at 8 runs. Logan Henderson and Kevin Gausman are slated to be the starting pitchers for this match.
The Milwaukee Brewers are showcasing an impressive performance, averaging 5.0 runs per game, currently ranking 3rd in the league. With a season total of 695 runs and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .339, they have notched 244 doubles and hit 129 home runs. The team has also accumulated 655 RBIs and 1,207 hits, while holding a batting average of .256. Their slugging percentage stands at .399, with 1,157 strikeouts and 573 walks taken this year.
Boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.03, the Brewers’ pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.18. They have allowed 146 home runs and 527 runs total, ranking 2nd in the league. Milwaukee’s pitching has yielded 1,020 hits (averaging 7.4 hits per 9 innings) along with 479 earned runs, leading to a team ERA of 3.47 (2nd in MLB). They have struck out 1,331 batters while issuing 440 walks, giving them a team FIP of 3.68 this season.
The Brewers’ bullpen has entered games with runners on base 108 times and participated in 132 high-leverage situations. They have secured 72 holds this season (ranking 20th in the league) and achieved a 71.0% save rate, coming into 135 save situations with 44 successful saves out of 62 attempts. Thus far, 40.8% of inherited runners have scored, with a total of 423 relief appearances this year.
This season, the Milwaukee Brewers have secured 3,728 putouts, with 1,093 assists and 64 errors, translating to a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in MLB). They have turned 105 double plays and converted 71.1% of balls in play into outs across 11,184 innings, placing them 6th in the league.
Henderson has pitched 101 innings throughout his career, registering 119 strikeouts. With a career record of 12-2, his FIP is 2.28 as he has faced 385 opposing hitters. His ERA stands at 2.31 after allowing just 26 earned runs and maintains a WHIP of 0.870, allowing 66 hits at a rate of 5.9 hits per nine innings, with 22 walks issued.
Meanwhile, the Chicago Cubs hold a team slugging percentage of .433 and are scoring an impressive 5.37 runs per game (ranking 1st in the league). With 237 doubles and 586 walks, they have accounted for 746 runs throughout the season. The Cubs have also hit 196 home runs and recorded 704 RBIs, but have struck out 1,179 times (12th in MLB) while achieving a batting average of .252 and on-base percentage of .340.
Chicago’s pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.261 and a FIP of 4.71. Their K/BB ratio stands at 7.80 (1,073 strikeouts to 417 walks), ranking 17th for total hits allowed with 1,149. They have given up 211 home runs and allow 4.42 runs per nine innings (13th in MLB). The Cubs’ pitching staff has yielded 610 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.17 (with 576 earned runs allowed).
Within 108 save situations, the Cubs have gathered 49 holds along with 24 blown saves. Their bullpen has faced 53 save opportunities, achieving 29 saves. With an inherited score rate of 31.9% for 185 inherited runners, they’ve made 130 high-leverage appearances and 135 appearances with runners on base, ranking 26th in MLB with a save rate of 54.7%, utilizing 445 bullpen pitchers this season.
With a fielding percentage of .990 (1st in MLB), the Chicago Cubs have recorded 106 double plays, 1,313 assists, and 51 errors, achieving 3,728 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 72.0% over the 11,184 innings played (3rd in baseball).
In his career, Gausman has allowed 1,862 hits, registering 1,983 strikeouts over 1,939 innings. His career includes 826 earned runs and a WHIP of 1.240, alongside a FIP of 3.80. Gausman holds a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.66, with a career record of 115-114 and a 3.83 ERA, permitting 8.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Chicago (-128)
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