- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Chicago (-152) Miami (+126)
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The Chicago Cubs (78-62) are set to face off against the Miami Marlins (71-69) at LoanDepot Park this Friday. The sports betting line has the Cubs favored at -152, while the Marlins are listed at +126. The total for the game is established at 8.5 runs. Scheduled to pitch are Shota Imanaga and Janson Junk.
The Cubs have hit a total of 237 doubles as a team, alongside 197 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .432, they have struck out 1,188 times and have walked 591 times. As a collective unit, the Chicago Cubs are scoring an impressive 5.4 runs per game, ranking them number one in MLB. With 709 RBIs and 1,217 hits this season, their batting average sits at .252 and they have achieved 751 runs scored with an on-base percentage of .340.
The Cubs boast a team ERA of 4.21 this season (ranked 18th in MLB), having struck out a total of 1,082 batters. Cubs pitchers have allowed 212 home runs and 619 runs overall (14th in MLB). They have issued 422 walks, resulting in a squad FIP of 4.71 this season. Chicago has surrendered 1,163 hits (averaging 8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has recorded 585 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.56, with a combined WHIP of 1.27.
In save situations, the Cubs’ relief pitchers have achieved a save percentage of 54.7%, appearing in 108 such situations. They have secured 29 saves this season but have failed in 24 out of 53 save opportunities. Cubs relievers have inherited 192 runners, with 31.8% crossing home plate. This year, they have appeared in 138 high leverage situations and have sent 451 relief pitchers to the mound, amassing 49 holds, ranking last in the MLB.
Turning balls in play into outs, the Cubs successfully convert 71.8% of their chances, placing them third in the league. They have achieved 3,755 putouts, 1,323 assists, and have committed 52 errors. Their fielding percentage of .990 ranks first across MLB, and they have executed 107 double plays this season.
Shota Imanaga has pitched 468 innings, recording 439 strikeouts throughout his career. With a career win-loss record of 32-21, he has a FIP of 3.47 and has faced 1,877 batters in the majors. His ERA stands at 3.52 (allowing 183 earned runs), boasting a WHIP of 1.051. In total, Imanaga has conceded 403 hits (averaging 7.7 hits per nine innings) along with 89 walks.
The Miami Marlins possess an on-base percentage of .326 and a team batting average of .248 for this season. They have been struck out 1,150 times (17th in the league) and have secured 1,156 hits collectively. Miami has tallied 142 home runs and 583 RBIs. Their team slugging percentage is .399, scoring an average of 4.37 runs per game (19th in MLB). They have recorded 215 doubles, 482 walks, and a total of 612 runs this year.
The Marlins’ pitching staff holds a team WHIP of 1.252 and a FIP of 4.05. They rank 4th in the league for total hits allowed, having surrendered 1,066 hits. Miami’s pitching is characterized by an ERA of 3.93 (with 594 runs permitted) and a strong strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (1,137 strikeouts to 473 walks). They have allowed 140 home runs and give up an average of 4.35 runs per nine innings (ranked 11th in MLB).
In 133 save opportunities, the Marlins have recorded 81 holds and 19 blown saves. Their bullpen has stepped in 50 times in save situations, accumulating 31 saves. The inherited scoring percentage for Miami’s relief pitchers sits at 23.0%, with 174 inherited runners. They have been called in 136 high leverage situations, facing runners on base 123 times. Their save percentage currently ranks 17th in the league at 62.0%, with 456 pitchers sent to the mound in relief this season.
With 101 double plays turned and a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in MLB), the Marlins have achieved 1,169 assists, committed 90 errors, and totaled 3,689 putouts. Over 11,067 innings of play, they maintain a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (ranked 9th in the majors).
In his career, Janson Junk has allowed 278 hits while racking up 181 strikeouts over 253 innings. With a 13-15 career win-loss record, Junk’s ERA sits at 4.55, yielding 9.9 hits per nine innings. He has given up 128 earned runs, recording a WHIP of 1.304 and a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.48, having faced 1,071 opposing batters throughout his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Forecast: Favor Chicago (-152)
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