- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Event Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: Atlanta (-130) Philadelphia (+110)
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The Atlanta Braves (84-58) are heading to Citizens Bank Park on Monday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (80-62). Currently, the odds favor Atlanta at -130, while Philadelphia stands at +110. The total for the game is set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers for this matchup are Grant Holmes and Jesus Luzardo.
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As a team, the Atlanta Braves are averaging 4.7 runs per game, placing them 9th in Major League Baseball. They have tallied 660 runs and hold a team on-base percentage of .312. The Braves have achieved 227 doubles and hit 181 home runs this season. They have driven in 633 runs and notched 1,190 hits, with their batting average currently at .248. Atlanta’s slugging percentage is .412, and they have struck out 1,158 times, while drawing 413 walks.
The Braves’ K/BB ratio stands at 2.51, with a collective WHIP of 1.25 among their pitching staff. The team’s pitchers have conceded 154 home runs and 541 runs (second in the league). Atlanta’s 1,094 hits given up translates to 7.8 per 9 innings, leading to 501 earned runs. With a team ERA of 3.58 (third in the league), the Braves have struck out 1,203 batters while issuing 479 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.04 this season.
Throughout the year, the Braves have utilized 446 relief pitchers. These relievers have inherited 156 runners, with 22.4% crossing the plate. The bullpen has recorded 100 holds this season (third in MLB). Braves pitchers have faced players on base 106 times, with 161 high-leverage appearances. They have accumulated 44 saves but have failed to convert 19 of 63 save opportunities, resulting in a 69.8% save percentage after 168 total save situations.
With 11,340 innings played, the Braves have converted 71.3% of balls in play into outs, ranking fifth in professional baseball. The team has achieved 3,780 putouts, 1,157 assists, and committed 61 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .988 and ranking sixth in MLB while executing 115 double plays.
Holmes has pitched 314 innings with 297 strikeouts in his MLB career. Holding a 15-15 win-loss record, he has a FIP of 3.69, having faced 1,335 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.75, having allowed 131 earned runs, and his career WHIP is 1.295, giving up 283 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 124 walks.
The Phillies boast a team slugging percentage of .400 and score an average of 4.49 runs per game, ranking 14th in MLB. They have recorded 205 doubles, drawn 456 walks, and produced 637 runs. Philadelphia has hit 167 home runs and driven in 617 runs this season, while striking out 1,177 times (16th in MLB) with a total of 1,154 hits. Their team on-base percentage stands at .313, and their batting average is .242 this season.
The Phillies’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.278 and a collective FIP of 3.77. Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 9.90 (1,392 strikeouts to 429 walks), ranking 18th in MLB for total hits allowed (1,182). They have given up 166 home runs and surrender 4.30 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league), with the team allowing 602 runs and maintaining a 3.99 ERA (558 earned runs allowed).
Philadelphia ranks 12th in MLB for save percentage at 68.4%, utilizing 468 relief pitchers throughout the season. Their bullpen has been called into high-leverage situations 140 times and has pitched 107 times with runners on base. Currently holding 125 save opportunities, the Phillies have recorded 66 holds but experienced 18 blown saves. From 57 save chances, the relievers have achieved 39 saves, with an inherited scoring percentage of 34.9% from 146 inherited runners.
Turning to defense, the Phillies have executed 84 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB). They boast 1,170 assists, 71 errors, and 3,782 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency rate stands at 68.0% after playing 11,346 innings, ranking 28th in professional baseball.
In his MLB career, Luzardo has allowed 767 hits and has compiled 984 strikeouts over 864 innings pitched. He’s allowed 381 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.220 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.42, and he has faced 3,601 batters in his career, owning a 54-46 record and a 3.97 ERA, having allowed 8.0 hits per nine innings.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Choose Atlanta (-130)
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