- Matchup: San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams
- Date: Thursday, September 10, 2026
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne, Australia
- Broadcast: Netflix
- Betting Odds: Rams -3.5
- Total Points Over/Under: 48
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The San Francisco 49ers (12-5 last season) are heading to the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Thursday to face off against the Los Angeles Rams (also 12-5 last year). San Francisco enters as 3.5-point underdogs, with the total set at 48 points.
Last season, the San Francisco 49ers concluded with an impressive 12-5 record. In their previous matchup, they faced the Seattle Seahawks and suffered a defeat, ending the game at 41-6. Brock Purdy led the 49ers in rushing with 5 carries for 37 yards (7.4 yards per attempt). Jake Tonges showcased a strong performance with 59 yards on 5 receptions, averaging 11.8 yards per catch. Purdy completed 15 of 27 passes for a total of 140 yards, resulting in a quarterback rating of 54.6 with one interception. Defensively, the 49ers allowed 175 rushing yards on 33 attempts, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. The pass defense permitted 12 completions on 17 attempts for 106 yards, with a completion rate of 70.6%. In total, they executed 58 plays for 236 yards, rushing 27 times to accumulate 108 yards, averaging 4.0 yards per carry.
When it comes to scoring, the 49ers averaged 25.7 points per game last season. Their rushing offense averaged 106.9 yards per game, placing them 24th in the NFL. Over the season, they amassed a total of 5,974 yards and achieved 237 first downs, but committed 83 penalties totaling 651 yards. The team turned the ball over 22 times (16 interceptions and 6 fumbles), while they tallied 33 touchdown passes alongside 15 rushing touchdowns.
In terms of passing defense, the 49ers conceded 3,951 yards, ranking them 25th in the league. They allowed an average of 232.4 passing yards per game, with a completion rate against them of 68.2%. In total, they surrendered 1,833 rushing yards over 17 games last season, allowing 29 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns. Their total defensive stats placed the team at 20th with an average of 340.2 yards allowed per game and 21.8 points per contest, ranking them 13th in the NFL.
In their last season, the Rams also ended with a 12-5 record. Their final game saw them defeated by the Seattle Seahawks with a score of 31-27. Blake Corum led the Los Angeles ground game with 9 carries for 55 yards, averaging 6.1 yards per attempt. Puka Nacua was the standout receiver, catching 9 passes for 165 yards (18.3 yards per reception). Quarterback Matthew Stafford threw for 374 yards on 22 of 35 pass attempts, securing 3 touchdowns and achieving a quarterback rating of 127.6, without any interceptions. The Rams’ defense allowed 75 yards on 26 carries (2.9 yards per attempt). The secondary allowed a completion rate of 69.4%, yielding 321 yards on 25 completions out of 36 attempts. Overall, the Rams finished with 479 total yards on offense, executing 57 plays for an average of 8.4 yards per play, and rushing for 114 yards on 22 attempts (5.2 yards per carry).
When it comes to scoring output, the Rams ranked first in the league, averaging 30.5 points per game last season. They accumulated a total of 4,557 passing yards, averaging 268.1 passing yards per game, also leading the NFL. Their rushing attack averaged 126.6 yards per game, totaling 2,152 yards over the season. The Rams’ offensive productivity was exceptional, averaging 394.6 yards per game, topping the league. However, they also allowed 573 total yards due to 75 penalties, ranking last in the league for mistakes. They recorded 8 interceptions and 7 fumbles lost, while achieving 236 first downs.
Defensively, the Rams allowed an average of 20.4 points per game, placing them 10th in the NFL. They conceded 26 touchdown passes and permitted an average of 216.7 passing yards per game, ranking them 19th. They also allowed 1,884 rushing yards (110.8 yards per game) and 8 touchdowns via the ground game throughout the season. The Rams’ defense participated in 1,072 plays from scrimmage, ranking 24th in the league. They managed 26 takeaways (10 forced fumbles and 16 interceptions) while giving up a total of 346 points over the season.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s matchup between the 49ers and Rams against the spread?
Pick: Rams -3.5
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