- Matchup: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
- Date of Play: Tuesday, September 8, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (-150) Miami Marlins (+125)
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The Miami Marlins (71-72) will take on the New York Mets (64-78) at LoanDepot Park this Tuesday. The odds favor the Mets at -150 with the Marlins opening at +125. The total runs projected for this matchup is 9. Starting on the mound will be Sean Manaea for New York and Sandy Alcantara for Miami.
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This season, the New York Mets are averaging 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 25th in the MLB. With a total of 592 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .306, the Mets have recorded 180 doubles and hit 174 home runs while accumulating 564 RBIs and 1,125 hits. Their overall batting average stands at .236, and they have a slugging percentage of .390. They have struck out 1,204 times and have also drawn 451 walks.
The Mets boast a team ERA of 4.13 (14th in the league) and have fanned 1,264 batters this season. They’ve allowed 160 home runs and 642 runs overall (18th in MLB). The pitching staff has issued 502 walks, with a FIP of 4.10 this year. On average, New York has given up 1,149 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and 581 earned runs, achieving a K/BB ratio of 2.52, along with a WHIP of 1.31.
The Mets have used 440 relief pitchers so far this season. Their bullpen has inherited 184 runners, with 27.2% of them scoring. The relief corps has secured 63 holds (ranking 26th in MLB). Mets relievers have entered games with runners on base 131 times and faced 147 high-leverage situations. With a total of 26 saves, they’ve missed 17 of 43 save opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 60.5% from 110 situations.
On defense, the Mets have recorded 3,794 putouts, 1,120 assists, and 86 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .983, which ranks 25th in professional baseball. They have successfully turned 86 double plays and converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs over 11,382 innings, positioning them 16th in the league.
Sean Manaea takes the mound with a career record spanning 1,373 innings and 1,306 strikeouts. He has maintained a career ERA of 4.14 (allowing 632 earned runs) alongside a WHIP of 1.217. Manaea has given up 1,283 hits (averaging 8.4 hits per 9 innings) and walked 388 batters, holding a FIP of 4.08 against 5,758 opposing hitters.
The Miami Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .398 and score an average of 4.34 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have hit 221 doubles, drawn 493 walks, and racked up 621 runs. Miami has also smacked 146 home runs and has been recorded on strikes 1,174 times (17th in baseball) while achieving 1,172 hits. The Marlins maintain an on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .247 this season.
As a pitching staff, the Marlins have a WHIP of 1.263 and a FIP of 4.06. They rank 6th in the MLB for total hits allowed (1,099). Overall, Miami’s pitching has surrendered 613 runs with a team ERA of 3.99 (556 earned runs). They have a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (1,158 strikeouts compared to 486 walks) and have allowed 143 home runs, yielding 4.40 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB).
The Marlins’ bullpen has inherited 181 runners, with a score percentage of 25.4%. Their relief pitchers have appeared in 137 high-leverage situations and 128 times with runners on base. With 133 save opportunities, they have earned 81 holds and missed 19 saves, resulting in a save percentage of 62.0% while utilizing 466 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Miami Marlins have completed 102 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in the majors). They have also recorded 1,197 assists, committed 90 errors, and made 3,767 putouts this season. Over 11,301 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (9th in MLB).
Throughout his MLB career, Sandy Alcantara has allowed 1,115 hits and racked up 1,073 strikeouts across 1,270 innings. With a career record of 65-76, he has a 3.63 ERA, averaging 7.9 hits per 9 innings. Alcantara has permitted 513 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.178 and a FIP of 3.6, with a K/BB ratio of 2.82, facing 5,233 opponents.
Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Opt for Miami (+125) and under 9 runs
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