- Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals
- Event Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
- Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: FOX
- Point Spread Odds: Buccaneers +4.0
- Total Over/Under: 50.5
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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who concluded last season with an 8-9 record, are heading to Paycor Stadium this Sunday to face the Cincinnati Bengals, who finished at 6-11 last year. According to Las Vegas bookmakers, Cincinnati is favored by 4 points, and the total for the game is set at 50.5.
Last season, the Buccaneers wrapped up their campaign with eight wins and nine losses. In their most recent outing, they managed to defeat the Carolina Panthers with a close scoreline of 16-14. Bucky Irving led the ground game with 26 carries for 85 yards (averaging 3.3 yards per carry). Cade Otton stood out in the receiving corps, making 7 receptions for a total of 94 yards, averaging 13.4 yards per catch. Quarterback Baker Mayfield completed 16 of 22 passes for 203 yards and 1 touchdown, achieving a quarterback rating of 97.3 despite one interception. Defensively, the Buccaneers allowed 19 rushing yards on 14 attempts, translating to an impressive 1.4 yards per carry. The team conceded 24 completed passes on 35 attempts, totaling 266 passing yards with a 68.6% completion rate. Tampa Bay executed 64 plays, accumulating a total of 338 yards, with a running tally of 42 carries for 140 rushing yards (averaging 3.3 yards per attempt).

Over the previous season, the Buccaneers amassed a total of 5,447 yards and achieved 174 first downs, although they faced 95 penalties resulting in 737 lost yards. The team scored 26 touchdowns through the air and 13 on the ground while committing 16 turnovers (11 interceptions and 5 fumbles). On average, they recorded 114.5 rushing yards per game, ranking them 21st in the league. In terms of scoring, Tampa Bay averaged 22.4 points per game.
Defensively, the Buccaneers ranked 20th in the NFL, allowing opponents an average of 24.2 points per game. They conceded 4.3 yards per run and 99.1 rushing yards per game. In the passing game, Tampa Bay allowed a total of 4,049 yards, placing them 27th overall. They gave up an average of 238.2 passing yards per contest with a completion percentage of 66.7%. Overall, they permitted 337.2 total yards per game, ranking 19th in professional football. Defensively, they conceded 30 passing touchdowns and 16 rushing touchdowns, allowing a total of 1,684 yards on the ground throughout the season.
The Bengals finished last season with a 6-11 record. Their last game ended in a narrow defeat against the Cleveland Browns, with a final score of 20-18. Quarterback Joe Burrow threw for 236 yards and 3 touchdowns, completing 29 out of 39 attempts while earning a QB rating of 104.2, despite one interception. Running back Chase Brown managed 72 rushing yards on 13 carries, averaging an impressive 5.5 yards per attempt. Ja’Marr Chase was the standout receiver, catching 8 passes for 96 yards (averaging 12.0 yards per reception). Cincinnati averaged 5.7 yards per carry, finishing with 142 rushing yards on 25 attempts. The Bengals recorded a total of 364 yards on 64 plays (5.7 yards per play). In defending against the pass, their completion percentage allowed was 50.0%, giving up 82 yards on 11 of 22 attempts. On the ground, Cincinnati allowed 118 yards on 24 carries (averaging 4.9 yards per carry).
The Cincinnati Bengals averaged 329.2 total yards per game last season, ranking them 17th in the NFL. They accumulated an average of 93.6 rushing yards per game, totaling 1,591 rushing yards for the year. The team caused 17 interceptions and lost 7 fumbles, achieving 213 first downs collectively. Their offensive penalties cost them 633 yards on 88 infractions, ranking them 30th in the league in terms of penalties. Last season, the Bengals generated 4,005 passing yards, averaging 235.6 passing yards per game, which placed them 6th in the NFL. In terms of scoring, Cincinnati averaged 24.4 points per game, positioning them 12th in the league.
Defensively, the Bengals allowed a total of 33 passing touchdowns and conceded an average of 233.8 passing yards per contest, ranking 26th in pro football. They allowed 2,500 rushing yards, averaging 147.1 yards per game, and surrendered 18 rushing touchdowns over the course of the season. The defense managed to create 21 turnovers, consisting of 8 forced fumbles and 13 interceptions. Overall, they permitted 492 total points, participating in 1,048 scrimmage plays, ranking them 16th in the league. Cincinnati’s defense allowed an average of 28.9 points per game, which stood at 30th in the NFL.
Who will emerge victorious in the Buccaneers-Bengals NFL matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Pick the Buccaneers +4.0
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