Manon Fiorot vs. Alexa Grasso: Noche UFC 4 Predictions and Betting Odds for 09/12/2026

• Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso
• Noche UFC 4
• Accor Arena in Paris, France
• Saturday, September 12, 2026

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On Saturday, September 12, 2026, Manon Fiorot will clash with Alexa Grasso at Noche UFC 4. Fiorot is favored with odds of -235, while Grasso enters at +195.

Featuring the moniker “The Beast,” Manon Fiorot boasts a record of 13 wins and 2 losses with no draws. The 36-year-old fighter weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5’7″ tall, possessing a reach of 65 inches. In contrast, Alexa Grasso, aged 33, holds a record of 17-5-1, weighs 125 lbs, is 5’5″ tall, and has a reach of 66 inches. Fiorot averages 5.66 significant strikes landed per minute, while Grasso averages 4.11. Fiorot has a striking accuracy of 42%, in comparison to Grasso’s 41%. Defensively, Fiorot absorbs 3.58 significant strikes per minute, while Grasso absorbs slightly more at 3.71. Fiorot successfully defends against 66% of significant strikes, whereas Grasso’s defense rate stands at 58%.

Focusing on wrestling, Manon Fiorot showcases superior wrestling skills, achieving 1.05 takedowns every three rounds. She successfully completes 29% of her takedown attempts and defends against 87% of her opponents’ takedowns. Alexa Grasso, meanwhile, completes 35% of her takedown attempts and successfully defends against 54%. In submission attempts, Fiorot averages 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes, while Grasso pursues submissions at a rate of 0.7 attempts per three rounds.

In her most recent bout, Manon Fiorot faced Jasmine Jasudavicius, securing victory with a punch while on the ground in Round 1. Jasudavicius managed only 2 of 14 total strikes in that fight, while Fiorot landed 17 of 28 strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Jasudavicius landed 2 out of 14, achieving a rate of 14%. Fiorot, however, landed 59% of the significant strikes thrown, connecting on 16 out of 27, with 100% of Jasudavicius’s significant strikes and 50% of Fiorot’s being delivered from a distance.

During her last Octagon appearance, Alexa Grasso battled Maycee Barber, winning in Round 1 via a punch. Barber did not miss with her significant strikes at distance, while Grasso connected on 91% of her strikes at a distance. Grasso achieved 31% accuracy with her significant strikes, landing 12 of 38 attempts, including 8 of 31 aimed at the head. Meanwhile, Barber connected on 5 of 25 significant strikes in the match, hitting 4 of them aimed at the head, concluding with a total strike count of 5 for Barber versus 12 for Grasso.

Other Fights to Watch

Another notable matchup features JJ Aldrich against Regina Tarin. Aldrich is aiming to improve her record to 15-7-0. At 33 years old, she competes at 125 lbs, stands at 5’5″, and has a reach of 67 inches. Tarin, at 21, is unbeaten with an 8-0-0 record, weighs in at 125 lbs, and stands at 5’7″ tall. In grappling, Aldrich secures takedowns 0.70 times per 15 minutes, while Tarin manages to score 1.00 takedown in the same timeframe. Striking wise, Aldrich averages 3.92 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 46%, in comparison to Tarin’s 7.60 strikes per minute with an accuracy rate of 47%.

A must-watch bout features Jose Delgado set to fight Jean Silva. Silva looks to boost his record to 17-3-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs, stands 5’7″ tall, and has a reach of 69 inches. Delgado, at 28, is 5’11” tall and also weighs 145 lbs, bringing a record of 12-2-0 into the Octagon with a reach of 73 inches. In wrestling stats, Silva successfully defends 78% of takedown attempts while executing takedowns at a rate of 60%. Delgado secures takedowns at a rate of 38% and defends against 63% of takedown attempts. When it comes to striking, Silva absorbs 4.50 strikes per minute and lands an average of 4.82, while Delgado absorbs 4.18 strikes and lands 6.07 strikes per minute.

Who will claim victory in tonight’s UFC battle against the spread?

Prediction: Back Manon Fiorot (-235)