- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Baltimore (+106) Toronto (-128)
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On Friday, the Toronto Blue Jays (73-74) will face off against the Baltimore Orioles (71-76) at the Rogers Centre. Betting odds show Baltimore at +106, while Toronto stands at -128. The total runs set for this matchup are at 9, with Chris Bassitt and Max Scherzer slated as the starting pitchers.
The Orioles have recorded 216 doubles this season and launched 176 home runs. Their slugging percentage stands at .394, with 1,361 strikeouts against 544 walks. Collectively, Baltimore averages 4.5 runs per game, placing them 15th in Major League Baseball. They have achieved 638 RBIs and 1,146 hits, boasting a batting average of .234 and an on-base percentage of .316.
Baltimore’s pitching staff holds a year-to-date earned run average (ERA) of 4.15, ranking 15th in MLB, with 1,182 strikeouts recorded. The team’s pitchers have allowed 157 home runs and a total of 688 runs, placing them 22nd in the league. This season, they have walked 485 hitters and have a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 4.07. Additionally, the Orioles have conceded 1,272 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 604 earned runs, with a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and a collective WHIP (Walks plus Hits per Innings Pitched) of 1.34.
The Orioles’ bullpen has successfully converted 66.1% of their save opportunities this season, recording 41 saves from 62 chances. They have inherited 196 runners, with 26.5% scoring. Baltimore’s relief pitchers have participated in 144 save situations and have made 157 high-leverage appearances. This year, 490 relief pitchers have taken the mound, resulting in 79 holds (16th in the league).
Defensively, the Baltimore Orioles have tallied 3,931 putouts, 1,255 assists, and 89 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .983—ranking them 23rd in the league. They have successfully turned 111 double plays and converted 68.8% of plays into outs over 11,793 innings, placing them 27th in MLB.
Chris Bassitt has pitched 1,363 innings across his career, achieving 1,252 strikeouts with an overall record of 89-70. He holds a FIP of 3.67 and has faced 5,798 batters, allowing 564 earned runs, resulting in an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.268. Bassitt has permitted 1,286 hits, averaging 8.5 hits per nine innings, alongside 442 walks.
The Blue Jays maintain a team slugging percentage of .383 and average 4.01 runs per game, ranking 29th in the league. This season, Toronto has 233 doubles, 407 walks, and 589 runs scored, including 140 home runs and 560 RBIs. They’ve struck out 1,053 times (29th in the league) and amassed 1,229 hits, resulting in a .248 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage.
Toronto’s pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.292 with a FIP of 4.00. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (1,268 strikeouts against 535 walks), ranking 9th in total hits allowed with 1,152. They’ve surrendered 153 home runs and allow 4.33 runs per nine innings (11th in MLB). As of now, the Blue Jays’ team ERA is 3.91, allowing 628 runs, which includes 567 earned runs.
The Blue Jays have achieved a notable save rate of 76.9%, ranking 2nd in MLB and employing 545 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has entered 181 times in crucial situations and 156 times with runners on base. Out of 163 save opportunities, they have recorded 93 holds and experienced 15 blown saves. Toronto’s relief pitchers have earned 50 saves from 65 chances, with a scoring percentage of 26.3% from inherited runners (224 total).
In 11,754 innings played, the Toronto Blue Jays stand with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (13th in MLB). They’ve recorded 100 double plays, resulting in a fielding rate of .984—placing them 22nd in the league. Thus far, Toronto has achieved 1,241 assists, 86 errors, and 3,918 putouts.
Max Scherzer, with a career record of 223-124, has maintained a stellar ERA of 3.28, yielding 7.4 hits per nine innings. He possesses a K/BB ratio of 4.39 and has faced 12,259 batters throughout his career. Scherzer has allowed 1,101 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.090 and a FIP of 3.2. Across his career, he has given up 2,491 hits while achieving 3,537 strikeouts in 3,025 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Expert Prediction: Bet on Baltimore (+106)
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