Matchup: New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Broadcast: CBS
Point Spread: Dolphins (-1.5)
Over/Under Total: 44
On Sunday, Hard Rock Stadium will witness a showdown between the Miami Dolphins (0-1) and the New England Patriots (0-1). The Patriots enter as 1.5-point underdogs, as indicated by the latest betting lines. The over/under for the game stands at 44 points.
The New England Patriots are kicking off their season with a record of 0-1. In their last outing, they faced the Las Vegas Raiders and suffered a loss, concluding the game at 20-13. Rhamondre Stevenson was the standout rusher for New England, accumulating 15 yards on 7 carries (averaging 2.1 yards per carry). Kayshon Boutte made a significant impact with 103 receiving yards on 6 receptions, averaging 17.2 yards per catch. Quarterback Drake Maye completed 30 of 46 passes for 287 yards and 1 touchdown, but also threw 1 interception, resulting in a QB rating of 80.6. On defense, the Patriots allowed 56 rushing yards on 24 carries, giving up an average of 2.3 yards per attempt. They allowed 24 completions for 333 passing yards, achieving a completion percentage of 70.6%. Overall, New England executed 64 plays, netting 336 total yards, while rushing the ball 18 times for 60 yards, averaging 3.3 yards per carry.

The AFC teams average a mere 13.0 points per game, highlighting challenges in reaching the endzone. Collectively, they average 60.0 rushing yards, placing 27th in the league. The Patriots have managed a total of 336 offensive yards so far this season. They have recorded 15 first downs but have been hampered by 9 penalties totaling 70 yards. Additionally, they have committed 1 turnover. When it comes to scoring, the Patriots have achieved 1 passing touchdown and have yet to secure a rushing touchdown.
Currently, New England ranks 16th in the NFL for points allowed, yielding an average of 20.0 points per game. They have restricted opponents to 2.3 yards per rush attempt and 56.0 rushing yards on average per game. However, their pass defense has been porous, allowing 333 passing yards so far this season, which ranks 31st in the league, with a completion rate of 70.6%. In total, they are allowing 389.0 yards per game, positioning them 26th overall. They have surrendered one passing touchdown and one rushing touchdown.
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The Miami Dolphins also enter this game with an 0-1 record early in the season. Their latest match resulted in a 33-8 defeat against the Indianapolis Colts. De’Von Achane led the Dolphins’ rushing offense with 55 yards on 7 carries, achieving an impressive average of 7.9 yards per attempt. Tyreek Hill was the primary target in the passing game, securing 4 catches for 40 yards (10.0 yards per reception). Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa threw for 114 yards on 14-23 passing, posting a QB rating of 51.7, but threw 2 interceptions with an average of 5.0 yards per attempt. The Dolphins’ defense allowed 40 rush attempts for 156 yards (3.9 yards per carry) and a completion rate of 75.9%, yielding 262 passing yards on 22 of 29 passing completions. Miami totaled 211 offensive yards while running 43 plays (averaging 4.9 yards per play). Their rushing attack averaged 6.5 yards per attempt, generating 78 yards from 12 attempts.
The Miami Dolphins are averaging only 211.0 yards per game, ranking them 30th in the NFL. They have amassed a total of 78 rushing yards and committed 3 penalties resulting in 15 yards, placing them dead last in the league in terms of helping opponents. The Dolphins’ passing game has produced 133 yards, ranking 29th overall. As far as scoring goes, they find themselves at 31st in the league with only 8.0 points per game.
Defensively, Miami has allowed 1 passing touchdown and an average of 262.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 25th in the league. In total, they have given up 156 rushing yards. The Dolphins have yet to generate any turnovers. Their defense has faced a total of 70 plays from opposing offenses, placing them 27th in the NFL. Currently, they are allowing an average of 33.0 points per game, positioning them 29th overall.
Who will emerge victorious in the Patriots-Dolphins matchup against the spread?
Josh’s Prediction: Bet on the Dolphins -1.5
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