- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Detroit (-152) Toronto (+126)
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The Detroit Tigers (71-79) are set to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (75-76) at Rogers Centre on Wednesday. The betting line places the Tigers at -152, while the Blue Jays come in at +126. The over/under is set at 8 runs. Starting pitchers for this matchup include Keider Montero and Max Scherzer.
This season, the Tigers have recorded 235 doubles and hit 169 home runs collectively. Detroit boasts a slugging percentage of .399 and has accumulated 1,302 strikeouts against 528 walks. Averaging 4.5 runs per game, they rank 14th overall in the league. To date, the team has tallied 640 RBIs and 1,210 hits, sitting at a team batting average of .239 with 672 runs scored and a .316 on-base percentage.
The team’s strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.57, with a pitching staff WHIP of 1.22. The Tigers’ pitchers have allowed 155 home runs, with a total of 601 runs scored against them (6th in MLB). To date, they have given up 1,158 hits (averaging 7.8 per 9 innings) and 541 earned runs. With a season ERA of 3.66, the Tigers rank 5th in the league and have recorded 1,203 strikeouts. They have issued 469 walks with a FIP of 4.04 this season.
Tigers pitchers have faced runners on base 164 times and have had 135 high-leverage situations. Their relievers have notched 71 holds this year (23rd in MLB) and a save rate of 48.4%, stepping into 135 save opportunities. With 30 successful saves out of 62 chances, they have inherited 243 base runners, allowing 25.9% to score. A total of 469 relievers have taken the mound this season.
The Tigers convert 71.5% of balls in play into outs over 11,970 innings, ranking 4th in MLB. They have made 3,990 putouts, 1,348 assists, and recorded 68 errors for a fielding percentage of .987, putting them 9th in the league, along with 120 double plays.
Montero, with a career record of 20-17, has a FIP of 4.06 against 1,394 batters faced in the majors. He has allowed 312 hits (8.4 per nine innings) and has walked 96 batters. His earned run average stands at 4.13 (154 earned runs), with a career WHIP of 1.214, over 336 innings pitched, accumulating 247 strikeouts.
The Blue Jays showcase a slugging percentage of .386, with an average of 4.06 runs per game (ranking 30th in the league). They have hit 241 doubles and drawn 426 walks, scoring 613 runs with 148 home runs and 583 RBIs. With 1,085 strikeouts (29th in the league) and 1,268 hits, their OBP is .311 and batting average .249 this season.
Toronto’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.294 and a FIP of 3.98. They have allowed 1,187 hits (9th most in baseball) and given up 645 runs this season, holding an ERA of 3.91 (583 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is notable at 8.80 (1,313 strikeouts compared to 549 walks), with 156 home runs surrendered and 4.33 runs allowed per 9 innings (10th in MLB).
This season, Toronto’s bullpen has been involved in 169 save opportunities, earning 98 holds and suffering 16 blown saves. In 66 save chances, their relievers have converted 50 saves, holding a 26.4% ratio of inherited runners allowed to score from 231 cases. The bullpen has featured in 184 high-leverage situations and 161 instances with runners on base, achieving a remarkable save rate of 75.8%, using 563 relievers this year.
In 12,078 innings, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (13th overall). They have recorded 101 double plays and a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB), with 1,275 assists, 90 errors, and 4,026 putouts throughout the season.
Max Scherzer has allowed 2,498 hits in his professional career and racked up 3,540 strikeouts over 3,030 innings pitched. With a 223-125 career record, he maintains a 3.29 ERA and gives up only 7.4 hits per nine innings. Allowing 1,107 earned runs, his WHIP stands at 1.091 along with a FIP of 3.2. His K/BB ratio is an impressive 4.39, facing 12,282 batters in his MLB tenure.
Who will take home the victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Toronto (+126) and the under on 8 total runs
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